Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2019GL086123 |
Quantification of the Uncertainty in Coastal Storm Hazard Predictions Due to Wave-Current Interaction and Wind Forcing | |
Lyddon, Charlotte1,2; Brown, Jenny M.2; Leonardi, Nicoletta1; Saulter, Andrew3; Plater, Andrew J.1 | |
2019-12-17 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
![]() |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2019 |
文章类型 | Article;Early Access |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England |
英文摘要 | Coastal flood warning and design of coastal protection schemes rely on accurate estimations of water level and waves during hurricanes and violent storms. These estimations frequently use numerical models, which, for computational reasons, neglect the interaction between the hydrodynamic and wave fields. Here, we show that neglecting such interactions, or local effects of atmospheric forcing, causes large uncertainties, which could have financial and operational consequences because flood warnings are potentially missed or protection schemes underdesigned. Using the Severn Estuary, SW England, we show that exclusion of locally generated winds underestimates high water significant wave height by up to 90.1%, high water level by 1.5%, and hazard proxy (water level + 1/2 significant wave height) by 9.1%. The uncertainty in water level and waves is quantified using a system to model tide-surge-wave conditions, Delft3D-FLOW-WAVE in a series of eight model simulations for four historic storm events. |
英文关键词 | Delft3D estuarine dynamics coupled model coastal wave hazard coastal flood hazard storm impact modeling |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000502929700001 |
WOS关键词 | SEA-LEVEL ; SURGE ; SUPPORT ; TIDES ; MODEL |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/225202 |
专题 | 环境与发展全球科技态势 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Liverpool, Sch Environm Sci, Liverpool, Merseyside, England; 2.Natl Oceanog Ctr Liverpool, Liverpool, Merseyside, England; 3.Met Off, Exeter, Devon, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lyddon, Charlotte,Brown, Jenny M.,Leonardi, Nicoletta,et al. Quantification of the Uncertainty in Coastal Storm Hazard Predictions Due to Wave-Current Interaction and Wind Forcing[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019. |
APA | Lyddon, Charlotte,Brown, Jenny M.,Leonardi, Nicoletta,Saulter, Andrew,&Plater, Andrew J..(2019).Quantification of the Uncertainty in Coastal Storm Hazard Predictions Due to Wave-Current Interaction and Wind Forcing.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS. |
MLA | Lyddon, Charlotte,et al."Quantification of the Uncertainty in Coastal Storm Hazard Predictions Due to Wave-Current Interaction and Wind Forcing".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2019). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论