Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.110997 |
Energy use and emissions scenarios for transport to gauge progress toward national commitments | |
Schmitz Goncalves, Daniel Neves1; 39;Agosto, Mardi de Almeida2 | |
2019-12-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 135 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Brazil |
英文摘要 | To achieve the mitigation targets discussed under the Paris Agreement, countries must develop studies that not only estimate baselines based on historical data of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and energy use, but that also project them considering different levels of ambition and political commitment. This study aims to develop and model scenarios of energy use and GHG emissions from the transport sector until 2030, considering the Brazilian Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC). Three scenarios were developed based on different political commitment. The method is based on a bottom-up approach, requiring multi-sectoral collaborative efforts to not only explain the direct energy use, but also balance the transportation activity and energy between the transport modes, justifying each case in terms of development stage and energy supply capacity. Here, transport sector has been further split up into the highest sector level detail available. At the maximum, GHG emissions could be reduced by 15% (29 Mt CO(2)e), achieved in scenario 3, whilst there are increases on emissions in scenario 2 (5% or 10 Mt CO(2)e) and scenario 1 (21% or 42 Mt CO(2)e). It implies that Brazil has the potential to ratchet up the mitigation targets discussed under the Paris Agreement of the UNFCCC. |
英文关键词 | Prospective scenarios Energy-saving Energy use Emission National commitment |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000506465400025 |
WOS关键词 | GREENHOUSE GASES ; ROAD TRANSPORTATION ; SUSTAINABLE ENERGY ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CHINA |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/224575 |
专题 | 环境与发展全球科技态势 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Fed Rio de Janeiro, COPPE UFRJ Program Transportat Engn, Technol Ctr, Bldg H,Room 117, University City, RJ, Brazil; 2.Mil Inst Engn, Praca Gen Tiburcio 80, Praia Vermelha, RJ, Brazil |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Schmitz Goncalves, Daniel Neves,39;Agosto, Mardi de Almeida. Energy use and emissions scenarios for transport to gauge progress toward national commitments[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2019,135. |
APA | Schmitz Goncalves, Daniel Neves,&39;Agosto, Mardi de Almeida.(2019).Energy use and emissions scenarios for transport to gauge progress toward national commitments.ENERGY POLICY,135. |
MLA | Schmitz Goncalves, Daniel Neves,et al."Energy use and emissions scenarios for transport to gauge progress toward national commitments".ENERGY POLICY 135(2019). |
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