Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.110948 |
Analysis and projection of energy consumption in Ecuador: Energy efficiency policies in the transportation sector | |
Castro Verdezoto, Pedro L.; Vidoza, Jorge A.; Gallo, Waldyr L. R. | |
2019-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
![]() |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 134 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Brazil |
英文摘要 | A forecast model for the Ecuador energy sector was elaborated, by using LEAP model, this study aims to analyze the behavior of the energy matrix depending on energy forecast and efficiency policy scenarios, applying a bottom-up analysis and considering the latest politics/infrastructure planning background in Ecuador. The model and considerations proposed will result in a final energy consumption of 158 million BOE in 2030, in which the transportation sector is the main energy consumer. Regarding Ecuador energy planning, of which a critical point is the hydroelectricity available due to the commissioning of new hydro power plants, estimated at 63,513 Gwh in 2030, this value is 3.25 times that generated in 2010. In addition, the energy saving of 15 million BOE is forecast, as well as the reduction in GHG emission related to that saving due to the energy efficiency program PEC, which replaces LPG stoves with induction stoves in Ecuadorian households. Results point out that energy efficiency policies for the transportation sector would reduce oil products (2.97% in the high growth scenario), which could be reallocated to the industrial sector. Finally, another critical point is the rapid decline in the oil self-sufficiency, estimated at 15 years counted from 2030. |
英文关键词 | LEAP model Transportation sector Energy consumption Integrated resources planning Energy efficiency policies |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000498307500002 |
WOS关键词 | ELECTROLYTIC HYDROGEN ; EMISSIONS ; ALTERNATIVES ; TECHNOLOGIES ; NATIONALISM ; HYDROPOWER ; INTENSITY ; DYNAMICS ; IMPACTS ; FUELS |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/224497 |
专题 | 环境与发展全球科技态势 |
作者单位 | Univ Estadual Campinas, Mech Engn Fac, Energy Planning Dept, Campinas, SP, Brazil |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Castro Verdezoto, Pedro L.,Vidoza, Jorge A.,Gallo, Waldyr L. R.. Analysis and projection of energy consumption in Ecuador: Energy efficiency policies in the transportation sector[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2019,134. |
APA | Castro Verdezoto, Pedro L.,Vidoza, Jorge A.,&Gallo, Waldyr L. R..(2019).Analysis and projection of energy consumption in Ecuador: Energy efficiency policies in the transportation sector.ENERGY POLICY,134. |
MLA | Castro Verdezoto, Pedro L.,et al."Analysis and projection of energy consumption in Ecuador: Energy efficiency policies in the transportation sector".ENERGY POLICY 134(2019). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论