Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s00382-018-4203-6 |
Indian summer monsoon variability forecasts in the North American multimodel ensemble | |
Singh, Bohar1; Cash, Ben2; Kinter, James L., III2 | |
2019-12-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS |
ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 53期号:12页码:7321-7334 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The representation of the seasonal mean and interannual variability of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) in nine global ocean-atmosphere coupled models that participated in the North American Multimodal Ensemble (NMME) phase 1 (NMME:1), and in nine global ocean-atmosphere coupled models participating in the NMME phase 2 (NMME:2) from 1982-2009, is evaluated over the Indo-Pacific domain with May initial conditions. The multi-model ensemble (MME) represents the Indian monsoon rainfall with modest skill and systematic biases. There is no significant improvement in the seasonal forecast skill or interannual variability of ISMR in NMME:2 as compared to NMME:1. The NMME skillfully predicts seasonal mean sea surface temperature (SST) and some of the teleconnections with seasonal mean rainfall. However, the SST-rainfall teleconnections are stronger in the NMME than observed. The NMME is not able to capture the extremes of seasonal mean rainfall and the simulated Indian Ocean-monsoon teleconnections are opposite to what are observed. |
英文关键词 | Indian Monsoon Interannual variability Teleconnections |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000495247200013 |
WOS关键词 | TO-INTERANNUAL PREDICTION ; COUPLED CLIMATE MODELS ; SOUTHERN OSCILLATION ; GLOBAL PRECIPITATION ; EQUATORIAL PACIFIC ; TIBETAN PLATEAU ; RAINFALL ; OCEAN ; CIRCULATION ; ENSO |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/224295 |
专题 | 环境与发展全球科技态势 |
作者单位 | 1.George Mason Univ, Fairfax, VA 22031 USA; 2.George Mason Univ, Ctr Ocean Land Atmosphere Studies, Fairfax, VA 22031 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Singh, Bohar,Cash, Ben,Kinter, James L., III. Indian summer monsoon variability forecasts in the North American multimodel ensemble[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019,53(12):7321-7334. |
APA | Singh, Bohar,Cash, Ben,&Kinter, James L., III.(2019).Indian summer monsoon variability forecasts in the North American multimodel ensemble.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,53(12),7321-7334. |
MLA | Singh, Bohar,et al."Indian summer monsoon variability forecasts in the North American multimodel ensemble".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 53.12(2019):7321-7334. |
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