Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41893-019-0409-9 |
Greater gains for Australia by tackling all SDGs but the last steps will be the most challenging | |
Allen, Cameron1; Metternicht, Graciela1; Wiedmann, Thomas2,3; Pedercini, Matteo4 | |
2019-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE SUSTAINABILITY
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ISSN | 2398-9629 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 2期号:11页码:1041-1050 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia; USA |
英文摘要 | The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) combine complex interlinkages, future uncertainty and transformational change. Recent studies highlight that trade-offs between SDG targets may undermine achievement of the goals. Significant gaps remain in scenario frameworks and modelling capabilities. We develop a novel approach nesting national SDG scenario modelling within the global Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, selecting Australia as a use case. The integrated SDG-Australia model is used to project four alternative scenarios that adopt different development approaches. Although we find that Australia is off-track to achieve the SDGs by 2030, considerable progress is possible by altering Australia's development trajectory. A 'Sustainability Transition' scenario comprising a coherent set of policies and investments delivers rapid and balanced progress of 70% towards SDG targets by 2030, well ahead of the business-as-usual scenario (40%). A focus on economic growth, social inclusion or green economy in isolation foregoes opportunities for greater gains. However, future uncertainty and cascading risks could undermine progress, and closing the gap to 100% SDG achievement will be very challenging. This will require a shift from 'transition' to 'transformation'. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000496824100013 |
WOS关键词 | SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS ; INTEGRATED SIMULATION ; SENSITIVITY-ANALYSIS ; DEEP UNCERTAINTY ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; PATHWAYS ; MODEL ; VALIDATION ; SCENARIOS ; FRAMEWORK |
WOS类目 | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/223808 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.UNSW Sydney, PANGEA Ctr, Sch Biol Earth & Environm Sci, Sydney, NSW, Australia; 2.UNSW Sydney, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Sustainabil Assessment Program, Sydney, NSW, Australia; 3.Univ Sydney, Sch Phys A28, ISA, Sydney, NSW, Australia; 4.Millennium Inst, Washington, DC USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Allen, Cameron,Metternicht, Graciela,Wiedmann, Thomas,et al. Greater gains for Australia by tackling all SDGs but the last steps will be the most challenging[J]. NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,2019,2(11):1041-1050. |
APA | Allen, Cameron,Metternicht, Graciela,Wiedmann, Thomas,&Pedercini, Matteo.(2019).Greater gains for Australia by tackling all SDGs but the last steps will be the most challenging.NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,2(11),1041-1050. |
MLA | Allen, Cameron,et al."Greater gains for Australia by tackling all SDGs but the last steps will be the most challenging".NATURE SUSTAINABILITY 2.11(2019):1041-1050. |
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