Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
International Energy Outlook 2019 projects nearly 50% increase in world energy usage by 2050, led by growth in Asia | |
admin | |
2019-09-24 | |
发布年 | 2019 |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | 美国 |
领域 | 地球科学 |
正文(英文) | U.S. ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE International Energy Outlook 2019 projects nearly 50% increase in world energy usage by 2050, led by growth in AsiaIn its International Energy Outlook 2019 (IEO2019), the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that world energy consumption will grow by nearly 50% between 2018 and 2050. EIA projects most of this growth will come from regions where the consumption of energy is driven by strong economic growth, particularly in non-OECD Asia. EIA’s annual long-term assessment of world energy markets includes a Reference case and four core side cases, which use different assumptions for the projections in each case. “Energy consumption was greater in Asia than in any other region in 2018, and we project that consumption will almost double between 2018 and 2050, making Asia both the largest and fastest-growing region in the world for energy consumption,” according to Linda Capuano, EIA Administrator. “This long-term trend of Asian energy consumption to support growing economies strongly influences the extraction, refining, and transport of oil, natural gas, and other fuels.” IEO2019 contains energy consumption projections for 16 regions of the world. Projections for the United States in IEO2019 are consistent with those released in the Annual Energy Outlook 2019. EIA does not intend that the IEO2019 Reference is the most probable prediction of the future, but rather it is a baseline for estimating the effects of policy or technology changes. The other four cases show the effects of changing other key model assumptions. Other significant findings of IEO2019 include
Manufacturing centers are shifting toward Africa and South Asia, especially India, resulting in energy consumption growth The economies in countries outside the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) account for nearly all of EIA’s projected growth in petroleum product consumption between 2018 and 2050 in IEO2019, as growing populations and economic growth result in increased consumption of energy. Non-OECD Asia accounts for about three-quarters of EIA’s projected global increase in liquid fuels consumption through 2050. India, in particular, is projected to experience rapid industrial growth and increased demand for motorized transportation. In contrast to energy consumption growth in Asia, EIA projects in the IEO2019 that crude oil production will be concentrated in the Americas, Russia, and the Middle East. Trade and infrastructure will have to shift to accommodate the projected production and consumption changes. Given these overall economic patterns, natural gas trade and infrastructure face similar shifts. End-use consumption is increasingly shifting toward electricityElectricity generation increases 79% between 2018 and 2050 in EIA’s IEO2019 projection as a result of increased electricity consumption in all end-use sectors. Electricity will remain the main source of energy consumed in buildings. In the residential and commercial sectors, EIA projects that electricity use will increase as populations rise, commercial services expand, and standards of living increase in non-OECD economies, which, in turn, will increase the demand for appliances and personal equipment. Although the IEO2019 projects that petroleum and other liquid fuels will remain the predominant transportation fuel, electricity use will increase in the transportation sector as more plug-in electric vehicles enter the fleet and as electricity use for rail expands. In the industrial sector, EIA projects that emerging economies with developing industrial sectors have a greater ability to increase electrification as they implement newer technologies. Falling generation costs, energy consumption growth, and policy work together to shift the electricity generation mix IEO2019 is available at https://www.eia.gov/ieo/.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration, the statistical and analytical agency in the U.S. Department of Energy, prepared the IEO2019 projection described in this press release. By law, EIA's data, analysis, and forecasts are independent of approval by any other officer or employee of the U.S. government. The views in the product and press release should not be construed as representing those of the U.S. Department of Energy or any other federal agencies.
EIA Program Contact: Ari Kahan, (202) 586-4058, ari.kahan@eia.gov EIA Press Contact: Dennis Mesina, (202) 586-1377, dennis.mesina@eia.gov EIA-2019-04 |
URL | 查看原文 |
来源平台 | U.S. Energy Information Administration |
文献类型 | 新闻 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/219062 |
专题 | 地球科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | admin. International Energy Outlook 2019 projects nearly 50% increase in world energy usage by 2050, led by growth in Asia. 2019. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
个性服务 |
推荐该条目 |
保存到收藏夹 |
查看访问统计 |
导出为Endnote文件 |
谷歌学术 |
谷歌学术中相似的文章 |
[admin]的文章 |
百度学术 |
百度学术中相似的文章 |
[admin]的文章 |
必应学术 |
必应学术中相似的文章 |
[admin]的文章 |
相关权益政策 |
暂无数据 |
收藏/分享 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论