Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2018WR022743 |
Exploring How Changing Monsoonal Dynamics and Human Pressures Challenge Multireservoir Management for Flood Protection, Hydropower Production, and Agricultural Water Supply | |
Quinn, J. D.1; Reed, P. M.1; Giuliani, M.2; Castelletti, A.2,3; Oyler, J. W.4; Nicholas, R. E.4 | |
2018-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH |
ISSN | 0043-1397 |
EISSN | 1944-7973 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 54期号:7页码:4638-4662 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Italy; Switzerland |
英文摘要 | Multireservoir systems require robust and adaptive control policies capable of managing hydroclimatic variability and human demands across a range of time scales. This is especially true for river basins with high intraannual and interannual variability, such as monsoonal systems that need to buffer against seasonal droughts while also managing extreme floods. Moreover, the timing, intensity, duration, and frequency of these hydrologic extremes may evolve with deeply uncertain changes in socioeconomic and climatic pressures. This study contributes an innovative method for exploring how possible changes in the timing and magnitude of the monsoonal cycle impact the robustness of reservoir operating policies designed assuming stationary hydrologic and socioeconomic conditions. We illustrate this analysis on the Red River basin in Vietnam, where reservoirs and dams serve as important sources of hydropower production, multisectoral water supply, and flood protection for the capital city of Hanoi. Applying our scenario discovery approach, we find that reservoir operations designed assuming stationarity provide robust hydropower performance in the Red River but that increased mean streamflow, amplification of the within-year monsoonal cycle, and increased interannual variability all threaten their ability to manage flood risk. Additionally, increased agricultural water demands can only be tolerated if they are accompanied by greater mean flow, exacerbating food-flood trade-offs in the basin. These findings highlight the importance of exploring the impacts of a wide range of deeply uncertain socioeconomic and hydrologic factors when evaluating system robustness in monsoonal river basins, considering in particular both lower-order moments of annual streamflow and intraannual monsoonal behavior. |
英文关键词 | multisectoral trade-offs deep uncertainty robustness scenario discovery streamflow generation reservoir operations |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000442502100026 |
WOS关键词 | INPUT VARIABLE SELECTION ; ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; HYDROLOGIC ALTERATION ; LATE PLEISTOCENE ; DECISION-MAKING ; SOUTHEAST-ASIA ; ADAPTATION ; SEDIMENT ; PRECIPITATION |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/21808 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Cornell Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA; 2.Politecn Milan, Dept Elect Informat & Bioengn, Milan, Italy; 3.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Environm Engn, Zurich, Switzerland; 4.Penn State Univ, Earth & Environm Syst Inst, University Pk, PA 16802 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Quinn, J. D.,Reed, P. M.,Giuliani, M.,et al. Exploring How Changing Monsoonal Dynamics and Human Pressures Challenge Multireservoir Management for Flood Protection, Hydropower Production, and Agricultural Water Supply[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2018,54(7):4638-4662. |
APA | Quinn, J. D.,Reed, P. M.,Giuliani, M.,Castelletti, A.,Oyler, J. W.,&Nicholas, R. E..(2018).Exploring How Changing Monsoonal Dynamics and Human Pressures Challenge Multireservoir Management for Flood Protection, Hydropower Production, and Agricultural Water Supply.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,54(7),4638-4662. |
MLA | Quinn, J. D.,et al."Exploring How Changing Monsoonal Dynamics and Human Pressures Challenge Multireservoir Management for Flood Protection, Hydropower Production, and Agricultural Water Supply".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 54.7(2018):4638-4662. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论