Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2017WR021489 |
Identifying Key Water Resource Vulnerabilities in Data-Scarce Transboundary River Basins | |
Rouge, Charles1,2; Tilmant, Amaury1; Zaitchik, Ben3; Dezfuli, Amin3,4,5; Salman, Maher6 | |
2018-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
![]() |
ISSN | 0043-1397 |
EISSN | 1944-7973 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 54期号:8页码:5264-5281 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Canada; USA; Italy |
英文摘要 | This paper presents a two-step framework to identify key water resource vulnerabilities in transboundary river basins where data availability on both hydrological fluxes and the operation of man-made facilities is either limited or nonexistent. In a first step, it combines two state-of-the-art modeling tools to overcome data limitations and build a model that provides a lower bound on risks estimated in that basin. Land data assimilation (process-based hydrological modeling taking remote-sensed products as inputs) is needed to evaluate hydrological fluxes, that is, streamflow data and consumptive use in irrigated agriculture-a lower-end estimate of demand. Hydroeconomic modeling provides cooperative water allocation policies that reflect the best-case management of storage capacity under hydrological uncertainty at a monthly time step for competing uses-hydropower, irrigation. In a second step, the framework uses additional scenarios to proceed with the in-depth analysis of the vulnerabilities identified despite the use of what is by definition a best-case model. We implement this approach to the Tigris-Euphrates river basin, a politically unstable region where water scarcity has been hypothesized to serve as a trigger for the Syrian revolution and ensuing war. Results suggest that even under the framework's best-case assumptions, the Euphrates part of the basin is close to a threshold where it becomes reliant on transfers of saline water from other parts of the basin to ensure irrigation demands are met. This Tigris-Euphrates river basin application demonstrates how the proposed framework quantifies vulnerabilities that have been hitherto discussed in a mostly qualitative, speculative way. |
英文关键词 | Tigris-Euphrates hydroeconomic modeling land data assimilation data-scarce transboundary river basins stochastic dual dynamic programming vulnerability analysis |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000445451800006 |
WOS关键词 | DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEM ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE ; CONFLICT-RESOLUTION ; DROUGHT ; INFORMATION ; FRAMEWORK ; TIGRIS ; MODEL ; OPTIMIZATION |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/21753 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Laval, Dept Civil Engn & Water Engn, Quebec City, PQ, Canada; 2.Cornell Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA; 3.Johns Hopkins Univ, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, Baltimore, MD 21218 USA; 4.NASA, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD USA; 5.Sci Syst & Applicat Inc, Lanham, MD USA; 6.United Nations, Food & Agr Org, Land & Water Div, Rome, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rouge, Charles,Tilmant, Amaury,Zaitchik, Ben,et al. Identifying Key Water Resource Vulnerabilities in Data-Scarce Transboundary River Basins[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2018,54(8):5264-5281. |
APA | Rouge, Charles,Tilmant, Amaury,Zaitchik, Ben,Dezfuli, Amin,&Salman, Maher.(2018).Identifying Key Water Resource Vulnerabilities in Data-Scarce Transboundary River Basins.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,54(8),5264-5281. |
MLA | Rouge, Charles,et al."Identifying Key Water Resource Vulnerabilities in Data-Scarce Transboundary River Basins".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 54.8(2018):5264-5281. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论