GSTDTAP  > 资源环境科学
DOI10.1002/2016WR019632
Multiscale temporal variability and regional patterns in 555 years of conterminous US streamflow
Ho, Michelle1; Lall, Upmanu1,2; Sun, Xun1,3; Cook, Edward R.4
2017-04-01
发表期刊WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
ISSN0043-1397
EISSN1944-7973
出版年2017
卷号53期号:4
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA; Peoples R China
英文摘要

The development of paleoclimate streamflow reconstructions in the conterminous United States (CONUS) has provided water resource managers with improved insights into multidecadal and centennial scale variability that cannot be reliably detected using shorter instrumental records. Paleoclimate streamflow reconstructions have largely focused on individual catchments limiting the ability to quantify variability across the CONUS. The Living Blended Drought Atlas (LBDA), a spatially and temporally complete 555 year long paleoclimate record of summer drought across the CONUS, provides an opportunity to reconstruct and characterize streamflow variability at a continental scale. We explore the validity of the first paleoreconstructions of streamflow that span the CONUS informed by the LBDA targeting a set of U.S. Geological Survey streamflow sites. The reconstructions are skillful under cross validation across most of the country, but the variance explained is generally low. Spatial and temporal structures of streamflow variability are analyzed using hierarchical clustering, principal component analysis, and wavelet analyses. Nine spatially coherent clusters are identified. The reconstructions show signals of contemporary droughts such as the Dust Bowl (1930s) and 1950s droughts. Decadal-scale variability was detected in the late 1900s in the western U.S., however, similar modes of temporal variability were rarely present prior to the 1950s. The twentieth century featured longer wet spells and shorter dry spells compared with the preceding 450 years. Streamflows in the Pacific Northwest and Northeast are negatively correlated with the central U.S. suggesting the potential to mitigate some drought impacts by balancing economic activities and insurance pools across these regions during major droughts.


Plain Language Summary The development of paleoclimate streamflow reconstructions in the conterminous United States (CONUS) has provided water resource managers with improved insights into multidecadal and centennial scale variability that cannot be reliably detected using shorter instrumental records. However, most reconstructions to date have focused on streamflow at a catchment scale. Here we use the Living Blended Drought Atlas (LBDA), a spatially and temporally complete 555 year long paleoclimate record of summer drought across the CONUS, to reconstruct and characterize streamflow variability at a continental scale. The reconstructions show signals of contemporary droughts such as the Dust Bowl (1930s) and 1950s droughts. Decadal-scale variability was detected in the late 1900s in thewestern U.S., however, similar modes of temporal variability were rarely present prior to the 1950s. The twentieth century featured longer wet spells and shorter dry spells compared with the preceding 450 years. Streamflows in the Pacific Northwest and Northeast are negatively correlated with the central U.S. suggesting the potential to mitigate some drought impacts by balancing economic activities and insurance pools across these regions during major droughts.


领域资源环境
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000403682600031
WOS关键词WESTERN UNITED-STATES ; ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION ; CANONICAL CORRELATION-ANALYSIS ; RIVER-BASIN ; TREE-RINGS ; SIERRA-NEVADA ; DROUGHT ; RECONSTRUCTIONS ; FLOW ; TRENDS
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/21588
专题资源环境科学
作者单位1.Columbia Univ, Columbia Water Ctr, New York, NY 10027 USA;
2.Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Engn, New York, NY USA;
3.East China Normal Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Geog Informat Sci, Shanghai 200241, Peoples R China;
4.Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY USA
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GB/T 7714
Ho, Michelle,Lall, Upmanu,Sun, Xun,et al. Multiscale temporal variability and regional patterns in 555 years of conterminous US streamflow[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2017,53(4).
APA Ho, Michelle,Lall, Upmanu,Sun, Xun,&Cook, Edward R..(2017).Multiscale temporal variability and regional patterns in 555 years of conterminous US streamflow.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,53(4).
MLA Ho, Michelle,et al."Multiscale temporal variability and regional patterns in 555 years of conterminous US streamflow".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 53.4(2017).
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