Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/2017WR021420 |
Exploring the Influence of Smallholders' Perceptions Regarding Water Availability on Crop Choice and Water Allocation Through Socio-Hydrological Modeling | |
Kuil, L.1; Evans, T.2; McCord, P. F.3; Salinas, J. L.4; Bloeschl, G.1,4 | |
2018-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH |
ISSN | 0043-1397 |
EISSN | 1944-7973 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 54期号:4页码:2580-2604 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Austria; USA |
英文摘要 | While it is known that farmers adopt different decision-making behaviors to cope with stresses, it remains challenging to capture this diversity in formal model frameworks that are used to advance theory and inform policy. Guided by cognitive theory and the theory of bounded rationality, this research develops a novel, socio-hydrological model framework that can explore how a farmer's perception of water availability impacts crop choice and water allocation. The model is informed by a rich empirical data set at the household level collected during 2013 in Kenya's Upper Ewaso Ng'iro basin that shows that the crop type cultivated is correlated with water availability. The model is able to simulate this pattern and shows that near-optimal or satisficing crop patterns can emerge also when farmers were to make use of simple decision rules and have diverse perceptions on water availability. By focusing on farmer decision making it also captures the rebound effect, i.e., as additional water becomes available through the improvement of crop efficiencies it will be reallocated on the farm instead of flowing downstream, as a farmer will adjust his (her) water allocation and crop pattern to the new water conditions. This study is valuable as it is consistent with the theory of bounded rationality, and thus offers an alternative, descriptive model in addition to normative models. The framework can be used to understand the potential impact of climate change on the socio-hydrological system, to simulate and test various assumptions regarding farmer behavior and to evaluate policy interventions. |
英文关键词 | smallholder water scarcity adaption modeling socio-hydrology agriculture |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000434186400005 |
WOS关键词 | DECISION-MAKING ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; FEEDBACK LOOPS ; ADAPTATION ; VARIABILITY ; FRAMEWORK ; DIVERSIFICATION ; SUSTAINABILITY ; CONSTRAINTS ; GOVERNANCE |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/21451 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Vienna Univ Technol, Ctr Water Resource Syst, Vienna, Austria; 2.Univ Arizona, Sch Geog & Dev, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA; 3.Michigan State Univ, Ctr Syst Integrat & Sustainabil, E Lansing, MI USA; 4.Vienna Univ Technol, Inst Hydraul Engn & Water Resources Management, Vienna, Austria |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kuil, L.,Evans, T.,McCord, P. F.,et al. Exploring the Influence of Smallholders' Perceptions Regarding Water Availability on Crop Choice and Water Allocation Through Socio-Hydrological Modeling[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2018,54(4):2580-2604. |
APA | Kuil, L.,Evans, T.,McCord, P. F.,Salinas, J. L.,&Bloeschl, G..(2018).Exploring the Influence of Smallholders' Perceptions Regarding Water Availability on Crop Choice and Water Allocation Through Socio-Hydrological Modeling.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,54(4),2580-2604. |
MLA | Kuil, L.,et al."Exploring the Influence of Smallholders' Perceptions Regarding Water Availability on Crop Choice and Water Allocation Through Socio-Hydrological Modeling".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 54.4(2018):2580-2604. |
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