GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0880.1
Observations and Mechanisms of a Simple Stochastic Dynamical Model Capturing El Nino Diversity
Chen, Nan1,2; Majda, Andrew J.1,2,3; Thual, Sulian1,2
2018
发表期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
EISSN1520-0442
出版年2018
卷号31期号:1页码:449-471
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA; U Arab Emirates
英文摘要

El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has significant impact on global climate and relevance for seasonal forecasts. Recently, a simple modeling framework was developed that captures the ENSO diversity, where state-dependent stochastic wind bursts and nonlinear advection of sea surface temperature are coupled to a simple ocean-atmosphere model that is otherwise deterministic, linear, and stable. In this article, the coupled model is compared with observations using reanalysis data over the last 34 yr, where the observed non-Gaussian statistics and the overall mechanisms of ENSO are both captured by the model. Then the formation mechanisms of both the central Pacific (CP) and the traditional El Nino in the model are systematically studied. First, ocean Rossby waves induced by easterly trade wind anomalies facilitate the heat content buildup. Then the reflected ocean Kelvin waves and the nonlinear advection lead to positive SST anomalies in the CP region and create a CP El Nino. Second, two formation mechanisms are revealed for the traditional El Nino, including the super (extreme) El Nino. The first mechanism indicates a preferred wind structure with easterly wind bursts (EWBs) leading westerly wind bursts (WWBs), where the EWBs build up heat content and then the WWBs trigger the El Nino. The second mechanism links the two types of El Nino, where a CP El Nino favors a heat content buildup and the advent of a traditional El Nino. This article also highlights the mechanisms of La Nina formation and El Nino termination.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000429528800027
WOS关键词WESTERLY WIND BURSTS ; EQUATORIAL PACIFIC ; TROPICAL PACIFIC ; SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION ; WARM POOL ; ENSO ; OCEAN ; TEMPERATURE ; EVENTS ; VARIABILITY
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/21246
专题气候变化
作者单位1.NYU, Dept Math, New York, NY 10003 USA;
2.NYU, Courant Inst Math Sci, Ctr Atmosphere Ocean Sci, New York, NY 10003 USA;
3.New York Univ Abu Dhabi, Ctr Prototype Climate Modeling, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates
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GB/T 7714
Chen, Nan,Majda, Andrew J.,Thual, Sulian. Observations and Mechanisms of a Simple Stochastic Dynamical Model Capturing El Nino Diversity[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2018,31(1):449-471.
APA Chen, Nan,Majda, Andrew J.,&Thual, Sulian.(2018).Observations and Mechanisms of a Simple Stochastic Dynamical Model Capturing El Nino Diversity.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,31(1),449-471.
MLA Chen, Nan,et al."Observations and Mechanisms of a Simple Stochastic Dynamical Model Capturing El Nino Diversity".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 31.1(2018):449-471.
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