Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0424.1 |
Dominant Role of Subtropical Pacific Warming in Extreme Eastern Pacific Hurricane Seasons: 2015 and the Future | |
Murakami, Hiroyuki1,2; Vecchi, Gabriel A.1,2; Delworth, Thomas L.1,2; Wittenberg, Andrew T.1; Underwood, Seth3; Gudgel, Richard1; Yang, Xiaosong4; Jia, Liwei1,2; Zeng, Fanrong1; Paffendorf, Karen1,2; Zhang, Wei1,2 | |
2017 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE |
ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 30期号:1 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The 2015 hurricane season in the eastern and central Pacific Ocean (EPO and CPO), particularly around Hawaii, was extremely active, including a record number of tropical cyclones (TCs) and the first instance of three simultaneous category-4 hurricanes in the EPO and CPO. A strong El Nino developed during the 2015 boreal summer season and was attributed by some to be the cause of the extreme number of TCs. However, according to a suite of targeted high-resolution model experiments, the extreme 2015 EPO and CPO hurricane season was not primarily induced by the 2015 El Nino tropical Pacific warming, but by warming in the subtropical Pacific Ocean. This warming is not typical of El Nino, but rather of the Pacific meridional mode (PMM) superimposed on long-term anthropogenic warming. Although the likelihood of such an extreme year depends on the phase of natural variability, the coupled GCM projects an increase in the frequency of such extremely active TC years over the next few decades for EPO, CPO, and Hawaii as a result of enhanced subtropical Pacific warming from anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000391855700015 |
WOS关键词 | COUPLED CLIMATE MODELS ; TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY ; NORTH PACIFIC ; EL-NINO ; SIMULATION ; ENSO ; TEMPERATURE ; ATLANTIC ; PRECIPITATION ; OSCILLATION |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20940 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, 201 Forrestal Rd, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA; 2.Princeton Univ, Atmospher & Ocean Sci Program, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA; 3.Engility Corp, Chantilly, VA USA; 4.Univ Corp Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Murakami, Hiroyuki,Vecchi, Gabriel A.,Delworth, Thomas L.,et al. Dominant Role of Subtropical Pacific Warming in Extreme Eastern Pacific Hurricane Seasons: 2015 and the Future[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2017,30(1). |
APA | Murakami, Hiroyuki.,Vecchi, Gabriel A..,Delworth, Thomas L..,Wittenberg, Andrew T..,Underwood, Seth.,...&Zhang, Wei.(2017).Dominant Role of Subtropical Pacific Warming in Extreme Eastern Pacific Hurricane Seasons: 2015 and the Future.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,30(1). |
MLA | Murakami, Hiroyuki,et al."Dominant Role of Subtropical Pacific Warming in Extreme Eastern Pacific Hurricane Seasons: 2015 and the Future".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 30.1(2017). |
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