Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0496.1 |
Response of the North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Climatology to Global Warming: Application of Dynamical Downscaling to CMIP5 Models | |
Zhang, Lei1; Karnauskas, Kristopher B.1,2; Donnelly, Jeffrey P.3; Emanuel, Kerry4 | |
2017-02-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE |
ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 30期号:4 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | A downscaling approach is applied to future projection simulations from four CMIP5 global climate models to investigate the response of the tropical cyclone (TC) climatology over the North Pacific basin to global warming. Under the influence of the anthropogenic rise in greenhouse gases, TC-track density, power dissipation, and TC genesis exhibit robust increasing trends over the North Pacific, especially over the central subtropical Pacific region. The increase in North Pacific TCs is primarily manifested as increases in the intense and relatively weak TCs. Examination of storm duration also reveals that TCs over the North Pacific have longer lifetimes under global warming. Through a genesis potential index, the mechanistic contributions of various physical climate factors to the simulated change in TC genesis are explored. More frequent TC genesis under global warming is mostly attributable to the smaller vertical wind shear and greater potential intensity (primarily due to higher sea surface temperature). In contrast, the effect of the saturation deficit of the free troposphere tends to suppress TC genesis, and the change in large-scale vorticity plays a negligible role. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000395522400004 |
WOS关键词 | VARIABILITY ; PROJECTIONS ; HURRICANES ; INCREASE |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20788 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA; 2.Univ Colorado, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA; 3.Woods Hole Oceanog Inst, Dept Geol & Geophys, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA; 4.MIT, Dept Earth Atmospher & Planetary Sci, Program Atmospheres Oceans & Climate, Cambridge, MA USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Lei,Karnauskas, Kristopher B.,Donnelly, Jeffrey P.,et al. Response of the North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Climatology to Global Warming: Application of Dynamical Downscaling to CMIP5 Models[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2017,30(4). |
APA | Zhang, Lei,Karnauskas, Kristopher B.,Donnelly, Jeffrey P.,&Emanuel, Kerry.(2017).Response of the North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Climatology to Global Warming: Application of Dynamical Downscaling to CMIP5 Models.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,30(4). |
MLA | Zhang, Lei,et al."Response of the North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Climatology to Global Warming: Application of Dynamical Downscaling to CMIP5 Models".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 30.4(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论