GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0334.1
Memory Matters: A Case for Granger Causality in Climate Variability Studies
McGraw, Marie C.; Barnes, Elizabeth A.
2018-04-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
EISSN1520-0442
出版年2018
卷号31期号:8页码:3289-3300
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

In climate variability studies, lagged linear regression is frequently used to infer causality. While lagged linear regression analysis can often provide valuable information about causal relationships, lagged regression is also susceptible to overreporting significant relationships when one or more of the variables has substantial memory (autocorrelation). Granger causality analysis takes into account the memory of the data and is therefore not susceptible to this issue. A simple Monte Carlo example highlights the advantages of Granger causality, compared to traditional lagged linear regression analysis in situations with one or more highly autocorrelated variables. Differences between the two approaches are further explored in two illustrative examples applicable to large-scale climate variability studies. Given that Granger causality is straightforward to calculate, Granger causality analysis may be preferable to traditional lagged regression analysis when one or more datasets has large memory.


英文关键词Regression analysis Statistical techniques Statistics
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000428694000018
WOS关键词SEA-ICE ; OSCILLATION ; COINTEGRATION ; FEEDBACK ; IMPACT ; ENSO
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20766
专题气候变化
作者单位Colorado State Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
McGraw, Marie C.,Barnes, Elizabeth A.. Memory Matters: A Case for Granger Causality in Climate Variability Studies[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2018,31(8):3289-3300.
APA McGraw, Marie C.,&Barnes, Elizabeth A..(2018).Memory Matters: A Case for Granger Causality in Climate Variability Studies.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,31(8),3289-3300.
MLA McGraw, Marie C.,et al."Memory Matters: A Case for Granger Causality in Climate Variability Studies".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 31.8(2018):3289-3300.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
查看访问统计
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[McGraw, Marie C.]的文章
[Barnes, Elizabeth A.]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[McGraw, Marie C.]的文章
[Barnes, Elizabeth A.]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[McGraw, Marie C.]的文章
[Barnes, Elizabeth A.]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。