GSTDTAP  > 资源环境科学
DOI10.1002/2016WR019276
Statistical distributions for monthly aggregations of precipitation and streamflow in drought indicator applications
Svensson, Cecilia1; Hannaford, Jamie1; Prosdocimi, Ilaria1,2
2017-02-01
发表期刊WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
ISSN0043-1397
EISSN1944-7973
出版年2017
卷号53期号:2
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England
英文摘要

Drought indicators are used as triggers for action and so are the foundation of drought monitoring and early warning. The computation of drought indicators like the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and standardized streamflow index (SSI) require a statistical probability distribution to be fitted to the observed data. Both precipitation and streamflow have a lower bound at zero, and their empirical distributions tend to have positive skewness. For deriving the SPI, the Gamma distribution has therefore often been a natural choice. The concept of the SSI is newer and there is no consensus regarding distribution. In the present study, twelve different probability distributions are fitted to streamflow and catchment average precipitation for four durations (1, 3, 6, and 12 months), for 121 catchments throughout the UK. The more flexible three- and four-parameter distributions generally do not have a lower bound at zero, and hence may attach some probability to values below zero. As a result, there is a censoring of the possible values of the calculated SPIs and SSIs. This can be avoided by using one of the bounded distributions, such as the reasonably flexible three-parameter Tweedie distribution, which has a lower bound (and potentially mass) at zero. The Tweedie distribution has only recently been applied to precipitation data, and only for a few sites. We find it fits both precipitation and streamflow data nearly as well as the best of the traditionally used three-parameter distributions, and should improve the accuracy of drought indices used for monitoring and early warning.


英文关键词standardized precipitation index standardized streamflow index statistical distribution Tweedie distribution drought index UK
领域资源环境
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000398568800002
WOS关键词DISPERSION MODEL DENSITIES ; INDEX ; SPI
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20423
专题资源环境科学
作者单位1.Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Wallingford, Oxon, England;
2.Univ Bath, Dept Math Sci, Bath, Avon, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Svensson, Cecilia,Hannaford, Jamie,Prosdocimi, Ilaria. Statistical distributions for monthly aggregations of precipitation and streamflow in drought indicator applications[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2017,53(2).
APA Svensson, Cecilia,Hannaford, Jamie,&Prosdocimi, Ilaria.(2017).Statistical distributions for monthly aggregations of precipitation and streamflow in drought indicator applications.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,53(2).
MLA Svensson, Cecilia,et al."Statistical distributions for monthly aggregations of precipitation and streamflow in drought indicator applications".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 53.2(2017).
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
查看访问统计
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Svensson, Cecilia]的文章
[Hannaford, Jamie]的文章
[Prosdocimi, Ilaria]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Svensson, Cecilia]的文章
[Hannaford, Jamie]的文章
[Prosdocimi, Ilaria]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Svensson, Cecilia]的文章
[Hannaford, Jamie]的文章
[Prosdocimi, Ilaria]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。