Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41467-018-06549-8 |
Extreme temperatures in Southeast Asia caused by El Nino and worsened by global warming | |
Thirumalai, Kaustubh1; DiNezio, Pedro N.1; Okumura, Yuko1; Deser, Clara2 | |
2017-06-06 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE COMMUNICATIONS |
ISSN | 2041-1723 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 8 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | In April 2016, southeast Asia experienced surface air temperatures (SATs) that surpassed national records, exacerbated energy consumption, disrupted agriculture and caused severe human discomfort. Here we show using observations and an ensemble of global warming simulations the combined impact of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon and long-term warming on regional SAT extremes. We find a robust relationship between ENSO and southeast Asian SATs wherein virtually all April extremes occur during El Nino years. We then quantify the relative contributions of long-term warming and the 2015-16 El Nino to the extreme April 2016 SATs. The results indicate that global warming increases the likelihood of record-breaking April extremes where we estimate that 29% of the 2016 anomaly was caused by warming and 49% by El Nino. These post-Nino Aprils can potentially be anticipated a few months in advance, and thus, help societies prepare for the projected continued increases in extremes. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000402751300001 |
WOS关键词 | HEAT |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/204026 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Texas Austin, Jackson Sch Geosci, Inst Geophys, JJ Pickle Res Campus,Bldg 196,10100 Burnet Rd, Austin, TX 78758 USA; 2.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Climate Anal Sect, Climate & Global Dynam Div, Boulder, CO 80305 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Thirumalai, Kaustubh,DiNezio, Pedro N.,Okumura, Yuko,et al. Extreme temperatures in Southeast Asia caused by El Nino and worsened by global warming[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2017,8. |
APA | Thirumalai, Kaustubh,DiNezio, Pedro N.,Okumura, Yuko,&Deser, Clara.(2017).Extreme temperatures in Southeast Asia caused by El Nino and worsened by global warming.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,8. |
MLA | Thirumalai, Kaustubh,et al."Extreme temperatures in Southeast Asia caused by El Nino and worsened by global warming".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 8(2017). |
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