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DOI10.1038/s41467-018-03671-5
Reduced exposure to extreme precipitation from 0.5 degrees C less warming in global land monsoon regions
Zhang, Wenxia1,2; Zhou, Tianjun1,2; Zou, Liwei1; Zhang, Lixia1,3; Chen, Xiaolong1
2018-08-08
发表期刊NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
ISSN2041-1723
出版年2018
卷号9
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
英文摘要

The Paris Agreement set a goal to keep global warming well below 2 degrees C and pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5 degrees C. Understanding how 0.5 degrees C less warming reduces impacts and risks is key for climate policies. Here, we show that both areal and population exposures to dangerous extreme precipitation events (e.g., once in 10-and 20-year events) would increase consistently with warming in the populous global land monsoon regions based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 multimodel projections. The 0.5 degrees C less warming would reduce areal and population exposures to once-in-20-year extreme precipitation events by 25% (18-41%) and 36% (22-46%), respectively. The avoided impacts are more remarkable for more intense extremes. Among the monsoon subregions, South Africa is the most impacted, followed by South Asia and East Asia. Our results improve the understanding of future vulnerability to, and risk of, climate extremes, which is paramount for mitigation and adaptation activities for the global monsoon region where nearly two-thirds of the world's population lives.


领域资源环境
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000440981500007
WOS关键词ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON ; 1.5 DEGREES-C ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; PARIS AGREEMENT ; IMPACTS ; CMIP5 ; SIMULATIONS ; CIRCULATION ; PROJECTIONS ; EMISSIONS
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
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文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/203745
专题资源环境科学
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China;
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China;
3.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
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GB/T 7714
Zhang, Wenxia,Zhou, Tianjun,Zou, Liwei,et al. Reduced exposure to extreme precipitation from 0.5 degrees C less warming in global land monsoon regions[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2018,9.
APA Zhang, Wenxia,Zhou, Tianjun,Zou, Liwei,Zhang, Lixia,&Chen, Xiaolong.(2018).Reduced exposure to extreme precipitation from 0.5 degrees C less warming in global land monsoon regions.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,9.
MLA Zhang, Wenxia,et al."Reduced exposure to extreme precipitation from 0.5 degrees C less warming in global land monsoon regions".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 9(2018).
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