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DOI | 10.1038/s41467-018-03671-5 |
Reduced exposure to extreme precipitation from 0.5 degrees C less warming in global land monsoon regions | |
Zhang, Wenxia1,2; Zhou, Tianjun1,2; Zou, Liwei1; Zhang, Lixia1,3; Chen, Xiaolong1 | |
2018-08-08 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
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ISSN | 2041-1723 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 9 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | The Paris Agreement set a goal to keep global warming well below 2 degrees C and pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5 degrees C. Understanding how 0.5 degrees C less warming reduces impacts and risks is key for climate policies. Here, we show that both areal and population exposures to dangerous extreme precipitation events (e.g., once in 10-and 20-year events) would increase consistently with warming in the populous global land monsoon regions based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 multimodel projections. The 0.5 degrees C less warming would reduce areal and population exposures to once-in-20-year extreme precipitation events by 25% (18-41%) and 36% (22-46%), respectively. The avoided impacts are more remarkable for more intense extremes. Among the monsoon subregions, South Africa is the most impacted, followed by South Asia and East Asia. Our results improve the understanding of future vulnerability to, and risk of, climate extremes, which is paramount for mitigation and adaptation activities for the global monsoon region where nearly two-thirds of the world's population lives. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000440981500007 |
WOS关键词 | ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON ; 1.5 DEGREES-C ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; PARIS AGREEMENT ; IMPACTS ; CMIP5 ; SIMULATIONS ; CIRCULATION ; PROJECTIONS ; EMISSIONS |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/203745 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; 3.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Wenxia,Zhou, Tianjun,Zou, Liwei,et al. Reduced exposure to extreme precipitation from 0.5 degrees C less warming in global land monsoon regions[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2018,9. |
APA | Zhang, Wenxia,Zhou, Tianjun,Zou, Liwei,Zhang, Lixia,&Chen, Xiaolong.(2018).Reduced exposure to extreme precipitation from 0.5 degrees C less warming in global land monsoon regions.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,9. |
MLA | Zhang, Wenxia,et al."Reduced exposure to extreme precipitation from 0.5 degrees C less warming in global land monsoon regions".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 9(2018). |
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