Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0436.1 |
Variability of Arctic Sea Ice Thickness Using PIOMAS and the CESM Large Ensemble | |
Labe, Zachary1; Magnusdottir, Gudrun1; Stern, Hal2 | |
2018-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE |
ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 31期号:8页码:3233-3247 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Because of limited high-quality satellite and in situ observations, less attention has been given to the trends in Arctic sea ice thickness and therefore sea ice volume than to the trends in sea ice extent. This study evaluates the spatial and temporal variability in Arctic sea ice thickness using the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS). Additionally, the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble Project (LENS) is used to quantify the forced response and internal variability in the model. A dipole spatial pattern of sea ice thickness variability is shown in both PIOMAS and LENS with opposite signs of polarity between the East Siberian Sea and near the Fram Strait. As future sea ice thins, this dipole structure of variability is reduced, and the largest interannual variability is found only along the northern Greenland coastline. Under a high-emissions scenario (RCP8.5) projection, average September sea ice thickness falls below 0.5 m by the end of the twenty-first century. However, a regional analysis shows internal variability contributes to an uncertainty of 10 to 20 years for the timing of the first September sea ice thickness less than 0.5 m in the marginal seas. |
英文关键词 | Arctic Sea ice Climate variability |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000428694000015 |
WOS关键词 | OCEAN ; TRENDS ; VOLUME ; MODEL ; CIRCULATION ; SIMULATIONS ; AIRCRAFT |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20365 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Irvine, CA 92697 USA; 2.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Stat, Irvine, CA USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Labe, Zachary,Magnusdottir, Gudrun,Stern, Hal. Variability of Arctic Sea Ice Thickness Using PIOMAS and the CESM Large Ensemble[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2018,31(8):3233-3247. |
APA | Labe, Zachary,Magnusdottir, Gudrun,&Stern, Hal.(2018).Variability of Arctic Sea Ice Thickness Using PIOMAS and the CESM Large Ensemble.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,31(8),3233-3247. |
MLA | Labe, Zachary,et al."Variability of Arctic Sea Ice Thickness Using PIOMAS and the CESM Large Ensemble".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 31.8(2018):3233-3247. |
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