GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0044.1
More Frequent Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events due to Enhanced MJO Forcing Expected in a Warmer Climate
Kang, Wanying1; Tziperman, Eli1,2
2017-11-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
EISSN1520-0442
出版年2017
卷号30期号:21
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

Sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events influence the Arctic Oscillation and midlatitude extreme weather. Observations show SSW events to be correlated with certain phases of the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO), but the effect of the MJO on SSW frequency is unknown, and the teleconnection mechanism, its planetary wave propagation path, and time scale are still not completely understood. The Arctic stratosphere response to increased MJO forcing expected in a warmer climate using two models is studied: the comprehensive Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model and an idealized dry dynamical core with and without MJO-like forcing. It is shown that the frequency of SSW events increases significantly in response to stronger MJO forcing, also affecting the averaged polar cap temperature. Two teleconnection mechanisms are identified: a direct propagation of MJO-forced transient waves to the Arctic stratosphere and a nonlinear enhancement of stationary waves by the MJO-forced transient waves. The MJO-forced waves propagate poleward in the lower stratosphere and upper troposphere and then upward. The cleaner results of the idealized model allow identifying the propagating signal and suggest a horizontal propagation time scale of 10-20 days, followed by additional time for upward propagation within the Arctic stratosphere, although there are significant uncertainties involved. Given that the MJO is predicted to be stronger in a warmer climate, these results suggest that SSW events may become more frequent, with possible implications on tropospheric high-latitude weather. However, the effect of an actual warming scenario on SSW frequency involves additional effects besides a strengthening of the MJO, requiring further investigation.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000414646000016
WOS关键词MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION ; QUASI-BIENNIAL OSCILLATION ; RELATIVELY SIMPLE AGCM ; PART I ; VARIABILITY ; MODEL ; CIRCULATION ; CONVECTION ; DYNAMICS ; SIMULATIONS
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20296
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Harvard Univ, Sch Engn & Appl Sci, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA;
2.Harvard Univ, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, 20 Oxford St, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
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GB/T 7714
Kang, Wanying,Tziperman, Eli. More Frequent Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events due to Enhanced MJO Forcing Expected in a Warmer Climate[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2017,30(21).
APA Kang, Wanying,&Tziperman, Eli.(2017).More Frequent Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events due to Enhanced MJO Forcing Expected in a Warmer Climate.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,30(21).
MLA Kang, Wanying,et al."More Frequent Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events due to Enhanced MJO Forcing Expected in a Warmer Climate".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 30.21(2017).
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