Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0554.1 |
The Relationship between Tropical Cyclones at Genesis and Their Maximum Attained Intensity | |
Ditchek, Sarah D.1; Nelson, T. Connor1,2; Rosenmayer, Michaela1; Corbosiero, Kristen L.1 | |
2017-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE |
ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 30期号:13 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Despite recent improvements made to tropical cyclone intensity predictions, this study investigates a different approach than those attempted thus far. Here, the overall environmental setup at genesis is evaluated to determine whether it predisposes a storm to reach its future maximum intensity. Variables retrieved from ERA-Interim are used to generate storm-centered composites at the time of genesis for Atlantic basin, main development region TCs from 1979-2015. Composites are stratified by their maximum attained intensity: tropical depressions (GTD), tropical storms (GTS), minor hurricanes (GMN), or major hurricanes (GMJ). A multiple-parameter linear regression is then used to associate the eventual attained intensity of tropical cyclone to the obtained variables at genesis. The regression has an adjusted r(2) of 0.39, which indicates that a statistical relationship is present. Regression coefficients, along with the spatial distribution of variables in the storm-centered composites, indicate that storms that reach higher intensities are associated at genesis with stronger, more compact, low-level vortices, better-defined outflow jets, a more compact region of high midlevel relative humidity, and higher atmospheric water vapor content. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000403096200002 |
WOS关键词 | PREDICTION SCHEME SHIPS ; NORTH PACIFIC BASINS ; HURRICANE INTENSITY ; RAPID INTENSIFICATION ; ATLANTIC BASIN ; EDDY FLUXES ; CYCLOGENESIS ; DISTURBANCES ; INDEX ; IMPROVEMENTS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20228 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.SUNY Albany, Dept Atmospher & Environm Sci, Albany, NY 12222 USA; 2.SUNY Albany, Atmospher Sci Res Ctr, Albany, NY 12222 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ditchek, Sarah D.,Nelson, T. Connor,Rosenmayer, Michaela,et al. The Relationship between Tropical Cyclones at Genesis and Their Maximum Attained Intensity[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2017,30(13). |
APA | Ditchek, Sarah D.,Nelson, T. Connor,Rosenmayer, Michaela,&Corbosiero, Kristen L..(2017).The Relationship between Tropical Cyclones at Genesis and Their Maximum Attained Intensity.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,30(13). |
MLA | Ditchek, Sarah D.,et al."The Relationship between Tropical Cyclones at Genesis and Their Maximum Attained Intensity".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 30.13(2017). |
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