Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1126/science.aau6299 |
Measles and the canonical path to elimination | |
Graham, Matthew1; Winter, Amy K.1; Ferrari, Matthew2; Grenfell, Bryan3,4; Moss, William J.1; Azman, Andrew S.1; Metcalf, C. Jessica E.3; Lessler, Justin1 | |
2019-05-10 | |
发表期刊 | SCIENCE
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ISSN | 0036-8075 |
EISSN | 1095-9203 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 364期号:6440页码:584-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | All World Health Organization regions have set measles elimination goals. We find that as countries progress toward these goals, they undergo predictable changes in the size and frequency of measles outbreaks. A country's position on this "canonical path" is driven by both measles control activities and demographic factors, which combine to change the effective size of the measles-susceptible population, thereby driving the country through theoretically established dynamic regimes. Further, position on the path to elimination provides critical information for guiding vaccination efforts, such as the age profile of susceptibility, that could only otherwise be obtained through costly field studies or sophisticated analysis. Equipped with this information, countries can gain insight into their current and future measles epidemiology and select appropriate strategies to more quickly achieve elimination goals. |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000467631800042 |
WOS关键词 | CRITICAL COMMUNITY SIZE ; DYNAMICS ; VACCINATION ; EPIDEMICS |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/201401 |
专题 | 地球科学 资源环境科学 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, Baltimore, MD 21205 USA; 2.Penn State Univ, Dept Biol, University Pk, PA 16802 USA; 3.Princeton Univ, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA; 4.NIH, Fogarty Int Ctr, Bldg 10, Bethesda, MD 20892 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Graham, Matthew,Winter, Amy K.,Ferrari, Matthew,et al. Measles and the canonical path to elimination[J]. SCIENCE,2019,364(6440):584-+. |
APA | Graham, Matthew.,Winter, Amy K..,Ferrari, Matthew.,Grenfell, Bryan.,Moss, William J..,...&Lessler, Justin.(2019).Measles and the canonical path to elimination.SCIENCE,364(6440),584-+. |
MLA | Graham, Matthew,et al."Measles and the canonical path to elimination".SCIENCE 364.6440(2019):584-+. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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