Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1126/science.aat6711 |
Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence | |
Murakami, H.1,2,5; Levin, E.3; Delworth, T. L.1,2; Gudgel, R.1; Hsu, P-C.4 | |
2018-11-16 | |
发表期刊 | SCIENCE |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
EISSN | 1095-9203 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 362期号:6416页码:794-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | Here we explore factors potentially linked to the enhanced major hurricane activity in the Atlantic Ocean during 2017. Using a suite of high-resolution model experiments, we show that the increase in 2017 major hurricanes was not primarily caused by La Nina conditions in the Pacific Ocean but rather triggered mainly by pronounced warm sea surface conditions in the tropical North Atlantic. Further, we superimpose a similar pattern of North Atlantic surface warming on data for long-term increasing sea surface temperature (a product of increases in greenhouse gas concentrations and decreases in aerosols) to show that this warming trend will likely lead to even higher numbers of major hurricanes in the future. The key factor controlling Atlantic major hurricane activity appears to be the degree to which the tropical Atlantic warms relative to the rest of the global ocean. |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000450488500045 |
WOS关键词 | SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; CYCLONE INTENSITY ; INTENSIFICATION ; PREDICTIONS ; SIMULATION ; FREQUENCY ; PACIFIC ; SHEAR ; ENSO |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/200086 |
专题 | 地球科学 资源环境科学 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA; 2.Princeton Univ, Atmospher & Ocean Sci Program, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA; 3.Paul D Schreiber High Sch, Port Washington, NY USA; 4.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster, Minist Educ, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 5.Univ Corp Atmospher Res, Cooperat Programs Adv Earth Syst Sci, Boulder, CO 80307 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Murakami, H.,Levin, E.,Delworth, T. L.,et al. Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence[J]. SCIENCE,2018,362(6416):794-+. |
APA | Murakami, H.,Levin, E.,Delworth, T. L.,Gudgel, R.,&Hsu, P-C..(2018).Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence.SCIENCE,362(6416),794-+. |
MLA | Murakami, H.,et al."Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence".SCIENCE 362.6416(2018):794-+. |
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