Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1126/science.aan5360 |
Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change | |
Nolan, Connor1; Overpeck, Jonathan T.1,2; Allen, Judy R. M.3; Anderson, Patricia M.4; Betancourt, Julio L.5; Binney, Heather A.6; Brewer, Simon7; Bush, Mark B.8; Chase, Brian M.9; Cheddadi, Rachid9; Djamali, Morteza10; Dodson, John11,12; Edwards, Mary E.6,13; Gosling, William D.14,15; Haberle, Simon16; Hotchkiss, Sara C.17; Huntley, Brian3; Ivory, Sarah J.18; Kershaw, A. Peter19; Kim, Soo-Hyun17; Latorre, Claudio20; Leydet, Michelle10; Lezine, Anne-Marie21; Liu, Kam-Biu22; Liu, Yao23; Lozhkin, A. V.24; McGlone, Matt S.25; Marchant, Robert A.26; Momohara, Arata27; Moreno, Patricio I.28,29; Mueller, Stefanie30; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.31; Shen, Caiming32; Stevenson, Janelle33; Takahara, Hikaru34; Tarasov, Pavel E.30; Tipton, John35; Vincens, Annie36; Weng, Chengyu37; Xu, Qinghai38,39; Zheng, Zhuo40; Jackson, Stephen T.1,41 | |
2018-08-31 | |
发表期刊 | SCIENCE |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
EISSN | 1095-9203 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 361期号:6405页码:920-923 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; England; France; Australia; Peoples R China; Netherlands; Chile; Russia; New Zealand; Japan; Germany |
英文摘要 | Impacts of global climate change on terrestrial ecosystems are imperfectly constrained by ecosystem models and direct observations. Pervasive ecosystem transformations occurred in response to warming and associated climatic changes during the last glacial-to-interglacial transition, which was comparable in magnitude to warming projected for the next century under high-emission scenarios. We reviewed 594 published paleoecological records to examine compositional and structural changes in terrestrial vegetation since the last glacial period and to project the magnitudes of ecosystem transformations under alternative future emission scenarios. Our results indicate that terrestrial ecosystems are highly sensitive to temperature change and suggest that, without major reductions in greenhouse gas emissions to the atmosphere, terrestrial ecosystems worldwide are at risk of major transformation, with accompanying disruption of ecosystem services and impacts on biodiversity. |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000443547000039 |
WOS关键词 | FOREST ; BIODIVERSITY ; CONSEQUENCES ; DISTURBANCE ; RESPONSES ; DROUGHT ; RECORD |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/199488 |
专题 | 地球科学 资源环境科学 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Arizona, Dept Geosci, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA; 2.Univ Michigan, Sch Environm & Sustainabil, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA; 3.Univ Durham, Dept Biosci, Durham DH1 3LE, England; 4.Univ Washington, Dept Earth & Space Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA; 5.US Geol Survey, Natl Res Program, Reston, VA 20192 USA; 6.Univ Southampton, Geog & Environm, Southampton SO17 1BJ, Hants, England; 7.Univ Utah, Dept Geog, Salt Lake City, UT 84112 USA; 8.Florida Inst Technol, Dept Biol Sci, Melbourne, FL 32901 USA; 9.Univ Montpellier, CNRS, UMR 5554, Inst Sci Evolut Montpellier, Bat 22,CC061,Pl Eugene Bataillon, F-34095 Montpellier, France; 10.Aix Marseille Univ, Avignon Univ, CNRS, IRD,Inst Mediterraneen Biodiversite & Ecol, F-13545 Aix En Provence, France; 11.Univ New South Wales, Palaeontol Geobiol & Earth Arch Res Ctr PANGEA, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia; 12.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Earth Environm, State Key Lab Loess & Quaternary Geol, Xian 71002, Shaanxi, Peoples R China; 13.Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Coll Nat Sci & Math, Fairbanks, AK 99775 USA; 14.Univ Amsterdam, Inst Biodivers & Ecosyst Dynam, NL-1090 GE Amsterdam, Netherlands; 15.Open Univ, Sch Environm Earth & Ecosyst Sci, Walton Hall, Milton Keynes MK7 6AA, Bucks, England; 16.Australian Natl Univ, Dept Archaeol & Nat Hist, Canberra, ACT, Australia; 17.Univ Wisconsin, Dept Bot, Madison, WI 53706 USA; 18.Penn State Univ, Dept Geosci, State Coll, PA 16802 USA; 19.Monash Univ, Sch Earth Atmosphere & Environm, Melbourne, Vic 3800, Australia; 20.Pontificia Univ Catolica Chile, Dept Ecol, IEB, Santiago, Chile; 21.Sorbonne Univ, CNRS, IRD, MNHN,LOCEAN,IPSL Lab, 4 Pl Jussieu, F-75005 Paris, France; 22.Louisiana State Univ, Dept Oceanog & Coastal Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA; 23.No Arizona Univ, Sch Informat Comp & Cyber Syst, Flagstaff, AZ 86011 USA; 24.Russian Acad Sci, North East Interdisciplinary Sci Res Inst, Far East Branch, Magadan 685000, Russia; 25.Landcare Res, Lincoln 7640, New Zealand; 26.Univ York, Dept Environm, York Inst Trop Ecosyst, York YO10 5NG, N Yorkshire, England; 27.Chiba Univ, Grad Sch Hort, Matsudo, Chiba 2718510, Japan; 28.Univ Chile, Dept Ciencias Ecol, IEB, Santiago, Chile; 29.Univ Chile, CR2, Santiago, Chile; 30.Free Univ Berlin, Inst Geol Sci, D-12249 Berlin, Germany; 31.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Climate & Global Dynam Lab, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA; 32.Yunnan Normal Univ, Key Lab Plateau Lake Ecol & Global Change, Kunming 650092, Yunnan, Peoples R China; 33.Australian Natl Univ, Sch Culture Hist & Language, Canberra, ACT, Australia; 34.Kyoto Prefectural Univ, Grad Sch Life & Environm Sci, Kyoto 6068522, Japan; 35.Univ Arkansas, Dept Math Sci, Fayetteville, AR 72701 USA; 36.CEREGE, F-13545 Aix En Provence, France; 37.Tongji Univ, Sch Ocean & Earth Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China; 38.Hebei Normal Univ, Inst Nihewan Archaeol, Shijiazhuang 050024, Hebei, Peoples R China; 39.Hebei Normal Univ, Coll Resource & Environm Sci, Shijiazhuang 050024, Hebei, Peoples R China; 40.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Earth Sci & Engn, Guangdong Prov Key Lab Geodynam & Geohazards, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, Peoples R China; 41.US Geol Survey, Southwest Climate Adaptat Sci Ctr, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Nolan, Connor,Overpeck, Jonathan T.,Allen, Judy R. M.,et al. Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change[J]. SCIENCE,2018,361(6405):920-923. |
APA | Nolan, Connor.,Overpeck, Jonathan T..,Allen, Judy R. M..,Anderson, Patricia M..,Betancourt, Julio L..,...&Jackson, Stephen T..(2018).Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change.SCIENCE,361(6405),920-923. |
MLA | Nolan, Connor,et al."Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change".SCIENCE 361.6405(2018):920-923. |
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