Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0177.1 |
Tropical Ocean Contributions to California's Surprisingly Dry El Nino of 2015/16 | |
Siler, Nicholas1; Kosaka, Yu2; Xie, Shang-Ping1; Li, Xichen3 | |
2017-12-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE |
ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 30期号:24 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Japan; Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | The major El Nino of 2015/16 brought significantly less precipitation to California than previous events of comparable strength, much to the disappointment of residents suffering through the state's fourth consecutive year of severe drought. Here, California's weak precipitation in 2015/16 relative to previous major El Nino events is investigated within a 40-member ensemble of atmosphere-only simulations run with historical sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and constant radiative forcing. The simulations reveal significant differences in both California precipitation and the large-scale atmospheric circulation between 2015/16 and previous strong El Nino events, which are similar to (albeit weaker than) the differences found in observations. Principal component analysis indicates that these ensemble-mean differences were likely related to a pattern of tropical SST variability with a strong signal in the Indian Ocean and western Pacific and a weaker signal in the eastern equatorial Pacific and subtropical North Atlantic. This SST pattern was missed by the majority of forecast models, which could partly explain their erroneous predictions of above-average precipitation in California in 2015/16. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000423492500016 |
WOS关键词 | NORTH-AMERICAN CLIMATE ; PACIFIC ; CIRCULATION ; IMPACTS ; PRECIPITATION ; ANOMALIES ; CONVECTION ; WEATHER ; MODEL |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/19750 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA; 2.Univ Tokyo, Res Ctr Adv Sci & Technol, Tokyo, Japan; 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Siler, Nicholas,Kosaka, Yu,Xie, Shang-Ping,et al. Tropical Ocean Contributions to California's Surprisingly Dry El Nino of 2015/16[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2017,30(24). |
APA | Siler, Nicholas,Kosaka, Yu,Xie, Shang-Ping,&Li, Xichen.(2017).Tropical Ocean Contributions to California's Surprisingly Dry El Nino of 2015/16.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,30(24). |
MLA | Siler, Nicholas,et al."Tropical Ocean Contributions to California's Surprisingly Dry El Nino of 2015/16".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 30.24(2017). |
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