Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0757.1 |
Striking Seasonality in the Secular Warming of the Northern Continents: Structure and Mechanisms | |
Nigam, Sumant1; Thomas, Natalie P.1; Ruiz-Barradas, Alfredo1; Weaver, Scott J.2 | |
2017-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE |
ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 30期号:16 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The linear trend in twentieth-century surface air temperature (SAT)-a key secular warming signal-exhibits striking seasonal variations over Northern Hemisphere continents; SAT trends are pronounced in winter and spring but notably weaker in summer and fall. The SAT trends in historical twentieth-century climate simulations informing the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change's Fifth Assessment show varied (and often unrealistic) strength and structure, and markedly weaker seasonal variation. The large intra-ensemble spread of winter SAT trends in some historical simulations was surprising, especially in the context of century-long linear trends, with implications for the detection of the secular warming signal. The striking seasonality of observed secular warming over northern continents warrants an explanation and the representation of related processes in climate models. Here, the seasonality of SAT trends over North America is shown to result from land surface-hydroclimate interactions and, to an extent, also from the secular change in low-level atmospheric circulation and related thermal advection. It is argued that the winter dormancy and summer vigor of the hydrologic cycle over middle-to high-latitude continents permit different responses to the additional incident radiative energy from increasing greenhouse gas concentrations. The seasonal cycle of climate, despite its monotony, provides an expanded phase space for the exposition of the dynamical and thermodynamical processes generating secular warming, and an exceptional cost-effective opportunity for benchmarking climate projection models. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000406040200026 |
WOS关键词 | ANNUAL CYCLE ; CLIMATE VARIABILITY ; PACIFIC-NORTHWEST ; TEMPERATURE ; TRENDS ; PRECIPITATION ; 20TH-CENTURY ; SIMULATIONS ; REANALYSES ; ATLANTIC |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/19723 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Maryland, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA; 2.Environm Def Fund, Washington, DC USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Nigam, Sumant,Thomas, Natalie P.,Ruiz-Barradas, Alfredo,et al. Striking Seasonality in the Secular Warming of the Northern Continents: Structure and Mechanisms[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2017,30(16). |
APA | Nigam, Sumant,Thomas, Natalie P.,Ruiz-Barradas, Alfredo,&Weaver, Scott J..(2017).Striking Seasonality in the Secular Warming of the Northern Continents: Structure and Mechanisms.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,30(16). |
MLA | Nigam, Sumant,et al."Striking Seasonality in the Secular Warming of the Northern Continents: Structure and Mechanisms".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 30.16(2017). |
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