Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1126/science.aam8335 |
Opportunities and challenges in modeling emerging infectious diseases | |
Metcalf, C. Jessica E.1,2; Lessler, Justin3 | |
2017-07-14 | |
发表期刊 | SCIENCE
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ISSN | 0036-8075 |
EISSN | 1095-9203 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 357期号:6347页码:149-152 |
文章类型 | Review |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The term "pathogen emergence" encompasses everything from previously unidentified viruses entering the human population to established pathogens invading new populations and the evolution of drug resistance. Mathematical models of emergent pathogens allow forecasts of case numbers, investigation of transmission mechanisms, and evaluation of control options. Yet, there are numerous limitations and pitfalls to their use, often driven by data scarcity. Growing availability of data on pathogen genetics and human ecology, coupled with computational and methodological innovations, is amplifying the power of models to inform the public health response to emergence events. Tighter integration of infectious disease models with public health practice and development of resources at the ready has the potential to increase the timeliness and quality of responses. |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000405391700034 |
WOS关键词 | EBOLA-VIRUS DISEASE ; PANDEMIC INFLUENZA ; WEST-AFRICA ; ZIKA VIRUS ; TRANSMISSION ; EPIDEMIC ; SURVEILLANCE ; PROJECTIONS ; STRATEGIES ; OUTBREAK |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/196456 |
专题 | 地球科学 资源环境科学 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Princeton Univ, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA; 2.Princeton Univ, Off Populat Res, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA; 3.Johns Hopkins Univ, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, Baltimore, MD USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Metcalf, C. Jessica E.,Lessler, Justin. Opportunities and challenges in modeling emerging infectious diseases[J]. SCIENCE,2017,357(6347):149-152. |
APA | Metcalf, C. Jessica E.,&Lessler, Justin.(2017).Opportunities and challenges in modeling emerging infectious diseases.SCIENCE,357(6347),149-152. |
MLA | Metcalf, C. Jessica E.,et al."Opportunities and challenges in modeling emerging infectious diseases".SCIENCE 357.6347(2017):149-152. |
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