GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0470.1
Summer Enhancement of Arctic Sea Ice Volume Anomalies in the September-Ice Zone
Bushuk, Mitchell1; Msadek, Rym2; Winton, Michael3; Vecchi, Gabriel A.4; Gudgel, Rich3; Rosati, Anthony3; Yang, Xiaosong3
2017-04-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
EISSN1520-0442
出版年2017
卷号30期号:7
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA; France
英文摘要

Because of its persistence on seasonal time scales, Arctic sea ice thickness (SIT) is a potential source of predictability for summer sea ice extent (SIE). New satellite observations of SIT represent an opportunity to harness this potential predictability via improved thickness initialization in seasonal forecast systems. In this work, the evolution of Arctic sea ice volume anomalies is studied using a 700-yr control integration and a suite of initialized ensemble forecasts from a fully coupled global climate model. This analysis is focused on the September sea ice zone, as this is the region where thickness anomalies have the potential to impact the SIE minimum. The primary finding of this paper is that, in addition to a general decay with time, sea ice volume anomalies display a summer enhancement, in which anomalies tend to grow between the months of May and July. This summer enhancement is relatively symmetric for positive and negative volume anomalies and peaks in July regardless of the initial month. Analysis of the surface energy budget reveals that the summer volume anomaly enhancement is driven by a positive feedback between the SIT state and the surface albedo. The SIT state affects surface albedo through changes in the sea ice concentration field, melt-onset date, snow coverage, and ice thickness distribution, yielding an anomaly in the total absorbed shortwave radiation between May and August, which enhances the existing SIT anomaly. This phenomenon highlights the crucial importance of accurate SIT initialization and representation of ice-albedo feedback processes in seasonal forecast systems.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000399678400004
WOS关键词DYNAMICAL FORECAST SYSTEM ; COUPLED CLIMATE MODEL ; THICKNESS DISTRIBUTION ; SEASONAL PREDICTIONS ; INITIAL CONDITIONS ; PREDICTABILITY ; EXTENT ; SKILL ; VARIABILITY ; ENSEMBLE
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
被引频次:17[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/19563
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Princeton Univ, Atmospher & Ocean Sci Program, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA;
2.CNRS, CERFACS, CECI, UMR 5318, Toulouse, France;
3.NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ USA;
4.Princeton Univ, NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Atmospher & Ocean Sci Program, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
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GB/T 7714
Bushuk, Mitchell,Msadek, Rym,Winton, Michael,et al. Summer Enhancement of Arctic Sea Ice Volume Anomalies in the September-Ice Zone[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2017,30(7).
APA Bushuk, Mitchell.,Msadek, Rym.,Winton, Michael.,Vecchi, Gabriel A..,Gudgel, Rich.,...&Yang, Xiaosong.(2017).Summer Enhancement of Arctic Sea Ice Volume Anomalies in the September-Ice Zone.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,30(7).
MLA Bushuk, Mitchell,et al."Summer Enhancement of Arctic Sea Ice Volume Anomalies in the September-Ice Zone".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 30.7(2017).
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