资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

Total continental freshwater discharge into the oceans is a key feature of the global water cycle, but it is currently impossible to observe using ground-based methods alone. To characterize the uncertainty across existing modeling and satellite approaches, the authors present ensembles of historic monthly global continental discharge estimates that enforce water mass balance over land and ocean. The authors combine independent measurements of ocean-landmass change from altimetry and GRACE with multiple estimates of evaporation minus precipitation (E-P) from remote sensing and reanalysis data to compute 28 time series of global discharge. Results reveal agreement in mass budget across approaches but a large spread in global E-P estimates that propagates into the discharge estimates. It is found that discharges with reanalysis-based E-P provide a closer comparison with current observation-based estimates. After combining GRACE-and altimetry-based mass change estimates with moisture convergences from reanalysis, the total annual mean continental discharge into the oceans is 38 550 +/- 4800 km(-3) yr(-1). Last, the authors provide continent-wise discharge estimates from GRACE and moisture convergences over land, compare them to other studies, and discuss implications for ocean modeling.