Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2016.10.033 |
Electricity supply and demand scenarios for the Southern African power pool | |
Spalding-Fecher, Randall.1; Senatla, Mamahloko2,9; Yamba, Francis3; Lukwesa, Biness3; Himunzowa, Grayson3; Heaps, Charles4; Chapman, Arthur5; Mahumane, Gilberto6,10; Tembo, Bernard7; Nyambe, Imasiku8 | |
2017-02-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
![]() |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 101 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Norway; South Africa; Zambia; USA; Mozambique; England; Netherlands |
英文摘要 | The study presents long-term electricity supply and demand scenarios for the twelve countries in the Southern African Power Pool, based on detailed bottom-up demand analysis for all countries and a set of internally consistent development scenarios. Total regional electricity demand and supply increase by eight to fourteen times from 2010 to 2070, with major shifts in both the sectoral composition of demand and the geography of demand, with South Africa becoming a much smaller share. On the supply side, the fuel mix shifts from coal and toward hydro in the medium term, but towards other renewables, such as solar, in the longer term, particularly in the scenarios with the fastest decline in capital costs for renewables. This leads to declining unit carbon dioxide emissions in the more aggressive scenarios, even though total power sector emissions still increase. The unit cost of generation for the entire region is stable across all scenarios. The potential transformation of the supply sector would require a fundamental shift in resource use, grid management and infrastructure development in the region, as well as greater regional integration. This also implies significant institutional capacity development in the SAPP Coordination Centre or similar structures for cooperative management of resources. |
英文关键词 | Electricity supply and demand Southern Africa Optimisation modelling Bottom-up demand analysis |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000392768800040 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ENERGY ; SYSTEM |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/19226 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Carbon Limits AS, Ovre Vollgate 6, N-0158 Oslo, Norway; 2.Univ Cape Town, Energy Res Ctr, Private Bag, Cape Town, South Africa; 3.Ctr Energy Environm Engn Zambia, Private Bag E 721, Lusaka, Zambia; 4.Stockholm Environm Inst US Ctr, 11 Curtis Ave, Somerville, MA USA; 5.OneWorld Sustainable Investments, 4 Spin St, Cape Town, South Africa; 6.Eduardo Mondlane Univ, Maputo, Mozambique; 7.UCL, Gower Str, London WC1E 6BT, England; 8.Univ Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia; 9.CSIR, 1 Meiring Neude Rd, Pretoria, South Africa; 10.Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Spalding-Fecher, Randall.,Senatla, Mamahloko,Yamba, Francis,et al. Electricity supply and demand scenarios for the Southern African power pool[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,101. |
APA | Spalding-Fecher, Randall..,Senatla, Mamahloko.,Yamba, Francis.,Lukwesa, Biness.,Himunzowa, Grayson.,...&Nyambe, Imasiku.(2017).Electricity supply and demand scenarios for the Southern African power pool.ENERGY POLICY,101. |
MLA | Spalding-Fecher, Randall.,et al."Electricity supply and demand scenarios for the Southern African power pool".ENERGY POLICY 101(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论