Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.07.062 |
Will current electric vehicle policy lead to cost-effective electrification of passenger car transport? | |
Contestabile, Marcello; Alajaji, Mohammed; Almubarak, Bader | |
2017-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 110 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Saudi Arabia |
英文摘要 | Encouraged by the falling cost of batteries, electric vehicle (EV) policy today focuses on expediting electrification, paying comparatively little attention to the cost of the particular type of EVs and charging infrastructure deployed. This paper argues that, due to its strong influence on EV innovation paths, EV policy could be better designed if it paid more attention to cost and technology development risk. In particular, using a model that estimates the incremental cost of different EV and infrastructure mixes over the whole passenger car fleet, we find that EV policy with a strong bias towards long-range battery electric vehicles (BEVs) risks leading to higher costs of electrification in the medium term, possibly exceeding the ability of governments to sustain the necessary incentives until battery cost drops sufficiently. We also find that promoting a balanced mix of BEVs and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) may set the electrification of passenger cars on a lower risk, lower cost path. Examining EV policy in the UK and in California, we find that it is generally not incompatible with achieving balanced mixes of BEVs and PHEVs. However some fine tuning would allow to better balance medium term risks and long term goals. |
英文关键词 | Electric vehicle policy California United Kingdom Case study PHEV BEV |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000417660800003 |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/19196 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | KAPSARC, POB 88550, Riyadh 11672, Saudi Arabia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Contestabile, Marcello,Alajaji, Mohammed,Almubarak, Bader. Will current electric vehicle policy lead to cost-effective electrification of passenger car transport?[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,110. |
APA | Contestabile, Marcello,Alajaji, Mohammed,&Almubarak, Bader.(2017).Will current electric vehicle policy lead to cost-effective electrification of passenger car transport?.ENERGY POLICY,110. |
MLA | Contestabile, Marcello,et al."Will current electric vehicle policy lead to cost-effective electrification of passenger car transport?".ENERGY POLICY 110(2017). |
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