Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.02.028 |
Effect of major policy disruptions in energy system transition: Case Finland | |
Pilpola, Sannamari; Lund, Peter D. | |
2018-05-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 116页码:323-336 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Finland |
英文摘要 | Finland has ambitious climate targets and intends to ban the use of coal and halve the oil use by 2030, mainly based on traditional forest biomass and nuclear power. These policy choices, however, encompass sizeable risks for a low-carbon energy transition. Here we investigate alternative pathways for disruptive risks from such policies based on massive introduction on variable renewable electricity (VRE) with intersectoral coupling through Power-to-X technologies (P2X), also considering future demand uncertainties. We analyzed several risk involving scenarios for years 2030 and 2050 using a national energy system model with 1-h resolution, which includes power, heat and fuel sectors. The results indicate that even in case of worst-case energy policy risks with nuclear and bioenergy, a feasible energy system solution can be found. Renewable energy resources were employed to their maximum potential levels with P2X flexibility options, especially Power-to-Heat. However, without energy efficiency measures, the present renewable energy resource base was not able to compensate for all primary energy fall-out, which would lead to higher system costs and CO2 emissions. This implies that in case of high dominance of a few energy sources, an alternative pathway may require strong energy efficiency measures and developing further the renewable energy resource base. |
英文关键词 | Energy system modelling Finland Power-to-X Renewable energy Scenarios |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000430758200035 |
WOS关键词 | NUCLEAR PHASE-OUT ; RENEWABLE ENERGY ; POWER ; ELECTRICITY ; FUTURE ; INTEGRATION ; SECURITY ; IMPACTS ; STORAGE ; SUSTAINABILITY |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18901 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Aalto Univ, Sch Sci, New Energy Technol Grp, POB 15100, FI-00076 Espoo, Finland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pilpola, Sannamari,Lund, Peter D.. Effect of major policy disruptions in energy system transition: Case Finland[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,116:323-336. |
APA | Pilpola, Sannamari,&Lund, Peter D..(2018).Effect of major policy disruptions in energy system transition: Case Finland.ENERGY POLICY,116,323-336. |
MLA | Pilpola, Sannamari,et al."Effect of major policy disruptions in energy system transition: Case Finland".ENERGY POLICY 116(2018):323-336. |
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