Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41558-019-0559-9 |
Climate change impacts on banana yields around the world | |
Varma, Varun; Bebber, Daniel P. | |
2019-10-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 9期号:10页码:752-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England |
英文摘要 | Nutritional diversity is a key element of food security(1-3). However, research on the effects of climate change on food security has, thus far, focused on the main food grains(4-8), while the responses of other crops, particularly those that play an important role in the developing world, are poorly understood. Bananas are a staple food and a major export commodity for many tropical nations(9). Here, we show that for 27 countries-accounting for 86% of global dessert banana production-a changing climate since 1961 has increased annual yields by an average of 1.37 t ha(-1). Past gains have been largely ubiquitous across the countries assessed and African producers will continue to see yield increases in the future. However, global yield gains could be dampened or disappear, reducing to 0.59 t ha(-1) and 0.19 t ha(-1) by 2050 under the climate scenarios for Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5, respectively, driven by declining yields in the largest producers and exporters. By quantifying climate-driven and technology-driven influences on yield, we also identify countries at risk from climate change and those capable of mitigating its effects or capitalizing on its benefits. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000487830200015 |
WOS关键词 | GAS-EXCHANGE ; PHYSIOLOGICAL-RESPONSES ; CAVENDISH SUBGROUP ; MUSA-AAA ; SUBTROPICS ; PLANTS ; EXPORT ; MODEL |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/187523 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | Univ Exeter, Dept Biosci, Exeter, Devon, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Varma, Varun,Bebber, Daniel P.. Climate change impacts on banana yields around the world[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2019,9(10):752-+. |
APA | Varma, Varun,&Bebber, Daniel P..(2019).Climate change impacts on banana yields around the world.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,9(10),752-+. |
MLA | Varma, Varun,et al."Climate change impacts on banana yields around the world".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 9.10(2019):752-+. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论