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DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0033.1
Contrastive Influence of ENSO and PNA on Variability and Predictability of North American Winter Precipitation
Li, Xiaofan1; Hu, Zeng-Zhen2; Liang, Ping3; Zhu, Jieshun4
2019-10-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
EISSN1520-0442
出版年2019
卷号32期号:19页码:6271-6284
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China; USA
英文摘要

In this work, the roles of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the variability and predictability of the Pacific-North American (PNA) pattern and precipitation in North America in winter are examined. It is noted that statistically about 29% of the variance of PNA is linearly linked to ENSO, while the remaining 71% of the variance of PNA might be explained by other processes, including atmospheric internal dynamics and sea surface temperature variations in the North Pacific. The ENSO impact is mainly meridional from the tropics to the mid-high latitudes, while a major fraction of the non-ENSO variability associated with PNA is confined in the zonal direction from the North Pacific to the North American continent. Such interferential connection on PNA as well as on North American climate variability may reflect a competition between local internal dynamical processes (unpredictable fraction) and remote forcing (predictable fraction). Model responses to observed sea surface temperature and model forecasts confirm that the remote forcing is mainly associated with ENSO and it is the major source of predictability of PNA and winter precipitation in North America.


英文关键词ENSO ENSO Precipitation ENSO
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000482950800005
WOS关键词SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; EL-NINO ; CLIMATE VARIABILITY ; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ; SUMMER RAINFALL ; LINEAR-RESPONSE ; LA-NINA ; PACIFIC ; ANOMALIES ; IMPACT
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/187416
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Zhejiang Univ, Sch Earth Sci, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China;
2.NOAA, Climate Predict Ctr, NWS, NCEP, College Pk, MD USA;
3.Shanghai Meteorol Bur, Shanghai Climate Ctr, Shanghai, Peoples R China;
4.Univ Maryland, Earth Syst Sci Interdisciplinary Ctr, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
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GB/T 7714
Li, Xiaofan,Hu, Zeng-Zhen,Liang, Ping,et al. Contrastive Influence of ENSO and PNA on Variability and Predictability of North American Winter Precipitation[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019,32(19):6271-6284.
APA Li, Xiaofan,Hu, Zeng-Zhen,Liang, Ping,&Zhu, Jieshun.(2019).Contrastive Influence of ENSO and PNA on Variability and Predictability of North American Winter Precipitation.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,32(19),6271-6284.
MLA Li, Xiaofan,et al."Contrastive Influence of ENSO and PNA on Variability and Predictability of North American Winter Precipitation".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 32.19(2019):6271-6284.
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