资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

Retention forestry is a silvicultural approach that can achieve both ecological and economic objectives in various forest ecosystems. It builds largely on the assumption that the live trees left unharvested (the main timber cost) effectively support ecological functioning of post-harvest forest. Such effectiveness can be understood as a combination of the initial ecological value of the tree (that may persist after tree death) and its survival, i.e., the prospect to develop into a high-quality veteran tree in the next forest generation. We assessed those aspects among > 3000 live trees actually retained in 103 Estonian harvested sites and monitored over 16 years. We analysed how their survival and habitat value (estimated from tree morphology, confirmed by epiphyte surveys) translate to the veteran-tree perspectives. Only 48% of the trees were still alive after 16 years, and this final survival at the stand-scale was poorly predictable from a few years of monitoring. Only 12% retention trees had both high habitat value and high survival. Most trees (75%) were of low initial habitat value and, combined with low survival, almost 40% of all trees never provided quality habitat for tree-dwelling species. Nevertheless, we found considerable potential for post-harvest development of habitat value; notably in European nemoral hardwood species (such as Fraxinus, Quercus, Ulmus, Acer), which survived well but were usually in subcanopies at the time of the harvest. These findings indicate that retention forestry can improve also highly impoverished (e.g. short-rotation) forests, if analytical tools have been developed and applied to predict tree survival and future habitat quality.