Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1289/EHP5430 |
The Role of Humidity in Associations of HighTemperature with Mortality: A Multicountry, Multicity Study | |
Armstrong, Ben1,2; Sera, Francesco1,2; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria1,2; Abrutzky, Rosana3; Astrom, Daniel Oudin4; Bell, Michelle L.5; Chen, Bing-Yu6; Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline de Sousa7; Correa, Patricia Matus8; Tran Ngoc Dang9,10; Hurtado Diaz, Magali11; Do Van Dung10; Forsberg, Bertil12; Goodman, Patrick13; Guo, Yue-Liang Leon6,14,15; Guo, Yuming16,17; Hashizume, Masahiro18; Honda, Yasushi19; Indermitte, Ene20; Iniguez, Carmen21,22; Kan, Haidong23; Kim, Ho24; Kysely, Jan25,26; Lavigne, Eric27,28; Michelozzi, Paola29; Orru, Hans20; Valdes Ortega, Nicolas8; Pascal, Mathilde30; Ragettli, Martina S.31,32; Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario7; Schwartz, Joel33; Scortichini, Matteo28; Seposo, Xerxes34,35; Tobias, Aurelio36; Tong, Shilu37,38,39; Urban, Ales25; De la Cruz Valencia, Cesar11; Zanobetti, Antonella33; Zeka, Ariana40; Gasparrini, Antonio1,2 | |
2019-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES |
ISSN | 0091-6765 |
EISSN | 1552-9924 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 127期号:9 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England; Argentina; Sweden; USA; Taiwan; Brazil; Chile; Vietnam; Mexico; Ireland; Australia; Japan; Estonia; Spain; Peoples R China; South Korea; Czech Republic; Canada; Italy; France; Switzerland |
英文摘要 | BACKGROUND: There is strong experimental evidence that physiologic stress from high temperatures is greater if humidity is higher. However, heat indices developed to allow for this have not consistently predicted mortality better than dry-bulb temperature. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to clarify the potential contribution of humidity an addition to temperature in predicting daily mortality in summer by using a large multicountry dataset. METHODS: In 445 cities in 24 countries, we fit a time-series regression model for summer mortality with a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) for temperature (up to lag 3) and supplemented this with a range of terms for relative humidity (RH) and its interaction with temperature. City-specific associations were summarized using meta-analytic techniques. RESULTS: Adding a linear term for RH to the temperature term improved fit slightly, with an increase of 23% in RH (the 99th percentile anomaly) associated with a 1.1% [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.8, 1.3] decrease in mortality. Allowing curvature in the RH term or adding terms for interaction of RH with temperature did not improve the model fit. The humidity-related decreased risk was made up of a positive coefficient at lag 0 outweighed by negative coefficients at lags of 1-3 d. Key results were broadly robust to small model changes and replacing RH with absolute measures of humidity. Replacing temperature with apparent temperature, a metric combining humidity and temperature, reduced goodness of fit slightly. DISCUSSION: The absence of a positive association of humidity with mortality in summer in this large multinational study is counter to expectations from physiologic studies, though consistent with previous epidemiologic studies finding little evidence for improved prediction by heat indices. The result that there was a small negative average association of humidity with mortality should be interpreted cautiously; the lag structure has unclear interpretation and suggests the need for future work to clarify. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000488971900013 |
WOS关键词 | AMBIENT-TEMPERATURE ; HEAT ; MODELS ; HEALTH |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Toxicology |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Toxicology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/186583 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Dept Publ Hlth Environm & Soc, London, England; 2.London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Ctr Stat Methodol, London, England; 3.Univ Buenos Aires, Fac Ciencias Sociales, Inst Invest Gino Germani, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina; 4.Umea Univ, Sect Sustainable Hlth, Dept Occupat & Environm Med, Umea, Sweden; 5.Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA; 6.Natl Hlth Res Inst, Natl Inst Environm Hlth Sci, Zhunan, Taiwan; 7.Univ Sao Paulo, Inst Adv Studies, Sao Paulo, Brazil; 8.Univ Andes, Dept Publ Hlth, Santiago, Chile; 9.Duy Tan Univ, Inst Res & Dev, Da Nang, Vietnam; 10.Univ Med & Pharm Ho Chi Minh City, Fac Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam; 11.Natl Inst Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico; 12.Umea Univ, Dept Publ Hlth & Clin Med, Umea, Sweden; 13.Technol Univ Dublin TU Dublin, Dublin, Ireland; 14.Natl Taiwan Univ NTT Hosp, Dept Environm & Occupat Med, Taipei, Taiwan; 15.NTT Hosp, Inst Occupat Med & Ind Hyg, Taipei, Taiwan; 16.Monash Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Prevent Med, Dept Epidemiol & Prevent Med, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 17.Monash Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Prevent Med, Climate Air Qual Res Unit, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 18.Nagasaki Univ, Inst Trop Med, Dept Pediat Infect Dis, Nagasaki, Japan; 19.Univ Tsukuba, Fac Hlth & Sport Sci, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; 20.Univ Tartu, Dept Family Med & Publ Hlth, Tartu, Estonia; 21.Univ Valencia, Dept Stat & Computat Res, Valencia, Spain; 22.Biomed Res Ctr Network Epidemiol & Publ Hlth CIBE, Madrid, Spain; 23.Fudan Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, Shanghai, Peoples R China; 24.Seoul Natl Univ, Grad Sch Publ Hlth, Seoul, South Korea; 25.Acad Sci Czech Republ, Inst Atmospher Phys, Prague, Czech Republic; 26.Czech Univ Life Sci, Fac Environm Sci, Prague, Czech Republic; 27.Univ Ottawa, Sch Epidemiol & Publ Hlth, Fac Med, Ottawa, ON, Canada; 28.Hlth Canada, Air Hlth Sci Div, Ottawa, ON, Canada; 29.Lazio Reg Hlth Serv, Dept Epidemiol, Rome, Italy; 30.French Natl Publ Hlth Agcy, Dept Environm Hlth, Sante Publ France, St Maurice, France; 31.Swiss Trop & Publ Hlth Inst, Basel, Switzerland; 32.Univ Basel, Basel, Switzerland; 33.Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, Boston, MA USA; 34.Kyoto Univ, Grad Sch Engn, Dept Environm Engn, Kyoto, Japan; 35.Kyoto Univ, Grad Sch Global Environm Studies, Dept Global Ecol, Kyoto, Japan; 36.Spanish Council Sci Res CSIC, Inst Environm Assessment & Water Res IDAEA, Barcelona, Spain; 37.Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Childrens Med Ctr, Sch Med, Shanghai, Peoples R China; 38.Anhui Med Univ, Inst Environm & Populat Hlth, Sch Publ Hlth, Hefei, Anhui, Peoples R China; 39.Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Publ Hlth & Social Work, Brisbane, Qld, Australia; 40.Brunel Univ London, Inst Environm, London, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Armstrong, Ben,Sera, Francesco,Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria,et al. The Role of Humidity in Associations of HighTemperature with Mortality: A Multicountry, Multicity Study[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES,2019,127(9). |
APA | Armstrong, Ben.,Sera, Francesco.,Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria.,Abrutzky, Rosana.,Astrom, Daniel Oudin.,...&Gasparrini, Antonio.(2019).The Role of Humidity in Associations of HighTemperature with Mortality: A Multicountry, Multicity Study.ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES,127(9). |
MLA | Armstrong, Ben,et al."The Role of Humidity in Associations of HighTemperature with Mortality: A Multicountry, Multicity Study".ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES 127.9(2019). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论