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DOI | 10.1007/s10584-019-02520-8 |
Uncertainty in geomorphological responses to climate change | |
Harrison, Stephan1; Mighall, Tim2; Stainforth, David A.3; Allen, Philip4; Macklin, Mark5; Anderson, Edward6; Knight, Jasper7; Mauquoy, Dmitri2; Passmore, David8; Rea, Brice2; Spagnolo, Matteo2; Shannon, Sarah9 | |
2019-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 156页码:69-86 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England; Scotland; USA; South Africa; Canada |
英文摘要 | Successful adaptation to climate change at regional scales can often depend on understanding the nature of geomorphological responses to climate change at those scales. Here we use evidence from landscapes which are known to be environmentally sensitive to show that geomorphological change in response to shifts in climate can be highly nonlinear. Our study sites are two mountain massifs on the western coast of Ireland. Both sites have similar geological and Pleistocene glacial histories and are similar topographically, geomorphologically and in their climate histories. We show that despite these similarities their response to late Holocene, climate change has differed. Both massifs have responded to short-term climate changes over the last 4500 years that are considered to have been uniform across the region, but these climate changes have resulted in highly differentiated and nonlinear landscape responses. We argue this reflects nonlinearity in the forcing-response processes at such scales and suggests that current approaches to modelling the response of such systems to future climate change using numerical climate models may not accurately capture the landscape response. We end by discussing some of the implications for obtaining decision-relevant predictions of landscape responses to climatic forcing and for climate change adaptation and planning, using regional climate models. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000491987900005 |
WOS关键词 | LAST GLACIAL MAXIMUM ; PERIGLACIAL TRIMLINES ; MACGILLYCUDDYS REEKS ; IMPACTS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/186417 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Exeter Univ, Coll Life & Environm Sci, Penryn TR109EZ, England; 2.Univ Aberdeen Univ, Sch Geosci, Aberdeen AB24 3FX, Scotland; 3.London Sch Econ & Polit Sci, Grantham Res Inst Climate Change & Environm, London, England; 4.Frostburg State Univ, Dept Geog, Frostburg, MD 21532 USA; 5.Univ Lincoln, Coll Sci, Sch Geog, Lincoln LN6 7TS, England; 6.Stockton Riverside Coll, Harvard Ave, Durham, England; 7.Univ Witwatersrand, Sch Geog Archaeol & Environm Studies, Johannesburg, South Africa; 8.Univ Toronto Mississauga, Dept Geog, Mississauga, ON, Canada; 9.Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci, Bristol BS8 1TH, Avon, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Harrison, Stephan,Mighall, Tim,Stainforth, David A.,et al. Uncertainty in geomorphological responses to climate change[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2019,156:69-86. |
APA | Harrison, Stephan.,Mighall, Tim.,Stainforth, David A..,Allen, Philip.,Macklin, Mark.,...&Shannon, Sarah.(2019).Uncertainty in geomorphological responses to climate change.CLIMATIC CHANGE,156,69-86. |
MLA | Harrison, Stephan,et al."Uncertainty in geomorphological responses to climate change".CLIMATIC CHANGE 156(2019):69-86. |
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