Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-019-02493-8 |
Climate exposure of East Asian temperate forests suggests transboundary climate adaptation strategies are needed | |
Choe, Hyeyeong1; Thorne, James H.2 | |
2019-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 156页码:51-67 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | South Korea; USA |
英文摘要 | The impacts of climate change traverse administrative borders, which calls for new strategies for forest ecosystem conservation and adaptive management. Despite relatively high biodiversity, the temperate forests in East Asia have lacked a comprehensive regional evaluation of potential climate change impacts. Here, we assess the level of climate change exposure of the Temperate Broadleaf and Mixed Forests Biome of East Asia by 2070. These temperate forests occupy 18 ecoregions, five countries, and 102 provinces. We categorize climate change exposure by classifying baseline (1960-1990) climate conditions for the current geographic distribution of five temperate forest types within each ecoregion and within the biome. We then measure the level of change under four future climates: a warmer or a hotter future climate and under reduced emissions (RCP4.5) or with emissions continuing unabated (RCP8.5). By 2070, using the RCP8.5 emission scenario, 24.5-65.7% of these forests enter non-analog or the most marginal 1% of baseline climate conditions. These results reveal the need for extensive transboundary governmental coordination, including forest preservation actions among 51 of 54 provinces that will retain some forest locations in climatically stable or low-risk conditions. Furthermore, among 96 provinces with forests that will be highly exposed, 90 will require transboundary climate change adaptation strategies because these forests span their borders, including the border areas of China, the Russian Federation, and North Korea. The analytical approach of this study could serve as a template for supporting transboundary institutional coordination to address climate change. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000491987900004 |
WOS关键词 | SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; CONSERVATION ; BIODIVERSITY ; SHIFTS ; TREES ; VULNERABILITY ; MANAGEMENT ; PHENOLOGY ; SCIENCE ; FUTURE |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/186416 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Kangwon Natl Univ, Dept Ecol Landscape Architecture Design, Chunchon 24341, Gangwon Do, South Korea; 2.Univ Calif Davis, Dept Environm Sci & Policy, Davis, CA 95616 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Choe, Hyeyeong,Thorne, James H.. Climate exposure of East Asian temperate forests suggests transboundary climate adaptation strategies are needed[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2019,156:51-67. |
APA | Choe, Hyeyeong,&Thorne, James H..(2019).Climate exposure of East Asian temperate forests suggests transboundary climate adaptation strategies are needed.CLIMATIC CHANGE,156,51-67. |
MLA | Choe, Hyeyeong,et al."Climate exposure of East Asian temperate forests suggests transboundary climate adaptation strategies are needed".CLIMATIC CHANGE 156(2019):51-67. |
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