Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.03.017 |
An integrated assessment of pathways for low-carbon development in Africa | |
van der Zwaan, Bob1,2,3; Kober, Tom1,4; Dalla Longa, Francesco1; van der Laan, Anouk5,6; Kramer, Gert Jan7 | |
2018-06-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 117页码:387-395 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Netherlands; Italy; Switzerland; Colombia |
英文摘要 | In this paper we investigate the prospects for the large-scale use of low-emission energy technologies in Africa. Many African countries have recently experienced substantial economic growth and aim at fulfilling much of the energy needs associated with continuing along paths of economic expansion by exploiting their large domestic potentials of renewable forms of energy. Important benefits of the abundant renewable energy resources in Africa are that they allow for stimulating economic development, increasing energy access and alleviating poverty, while simultaneously avoiding emissions of greenhouse gases. In this study we analyse what the likely energy demand in Africa could be until 2050, and inspect multiple scenarios for the concomitant levels of greenhouse gas emissions and emission intensities. We use the TIAM-ECN model for our study, which enawbbles detailed energy systems research through a technology-rich cost-minimisation procedure. The results from our analysis fully support an Africa-led effort to substantially enhance the use of the continent's renewable energy potential. But they suggest that the current aim of achieving 300 GW of additional renewable electricity generation capacity by 2030 is perhaps unrealistic, even given high GDP and population growth: we find figures that are close to half this level. On the other hand, we find evidence for leap-frogging opportunities, by which renewable energy options rather than fossil fuels could constitute the cost-optimal solution to fulfil most of Africa's growing energy requirements. An important benefit of leap-frogging is that it avoids an ultimately expensive fossil fuels lock-in that would fix the carbon footprint of the continent until at least the middle of the century. |
英文关键词 | Africa GHG emissions Climate change mitigation Economic growth Renewable energy |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000431932600038 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE MITIGATION ; LATIN-AMERICA ; ENERGY ; MULTIMODEL ; BALANCE ; POLICY |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18597 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Energy Res Ctr Netherlands ECN, Policy Studies, Amsterdam, Netherlands; 2.Johns Hopkins Univ, SAIS, Bologna, Italy; 3.Univ Amsterdam, Fac Sci HIMS, Amsterdam, Netherlands; 4.Paul Scherrer Inst, Energy Econ Grp, Villigen, Switzerland; 5.McKinsey & Co Inc, Amsterdam, Netherlands; 6.McKinsey & Co Inc, Bogota, Colombia; 7.Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, Utrecht, Netherlands |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | van der Zwaan, Bob,Kober, Tom,Dalla Longa, Francesco,et al. An integrated assessment of pathways for low-carbon development in Africa[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,117:387-395. |
APA | van der Zwaan, Bob,Kober, Tom,Dalla Longa, Francesco,van der Laan, Anouk,&Kramer, Gert Jan.(2018).An integrated assessment of pathways for low-carbon development in Africa.ENERGY POLICY,117,387-395. |
MLA | van der Zwaan, Bob,et al."An integrated assessment of pathways for low-carbon development in Africa".ENERGY POLICY 117(2018):387-395. |
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