Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2018WR024256 |
Streamflow in the Columbia River Basin: Quantifying Changes Over the Period 1951-2008 and Determining the Drivers of Those Changes | |
Forbes, Whitney L.1,2,3; Mao, Jiafu2,3; Ricciuto, Daniel M.2,3; Kao, Shih-Chieh2,3; Shi, Xiaoying2,3; Tavakoly, Ahmad A.4; Jin, Mingzhou1; Guo, Weidong5,6; Zhao, Tianbao7; Wang, Yutao8; Thornton, Peter E.2,3; Hoffman, Forrest M.9,10 | |
2019-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH |
ISSN | 0043-1397 |
EISSN | 1944-7973 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 55期号:8页码:6640-6652 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | Trend, detection, and attribution analyses were performed using naturalized streamflow observations and routed land surface model runoff for 10 subbasins in the Columbia River Basin during water years 1951-2008. The Energy Exascale Earth System land-surface model (ELM) version 1.0 and the Routing Application for Parallel computation of Discharge (RAPID) routing model were used to conduct semi-factorial simulations driven by multiple sets of bias-corrected forcing data sets. Four main potential drivers, including climate change (CLMT), CO2 concentration (CO2), nitrogen deposition (NDEP), and land use and land cover change (LULCC), were analyzed during the assessment. All subbasins showed significant (alpha = 0.10) declines in the observed amount of annual total streamflow, except for the Middle and Upper Snake and Upper Columbia Subbasins. These declines were led by significant decreases in June-October streamflow, which also directly led to significant decreases in peak and summer streamflow. Except for the Snake River Subbasins, LULCC had the same pattern of declines in monthly streamflow, but the period was shifted to May-September. NDEP also had significant trends in June-October; however, rather than decreases, the trends showed significant increases in streamflow. While there were significant trends in CO2, NDEP, and LULCC, their signals of change were weak in comparison to the signal in CLMT and the natural internal variability found in streamflow. Overall, the detection and attribution analysis showed that the historical changes found in annual total, center of timing of, and summer mean streamflow could be attributed to changing climate and variability. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000490973700017 |
WOS关键词 | MODEL INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT ; UNITED-STATES ; LAND-SURFACE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CARBON ; SNOW ; ATTRIBUTION ; RUNOFF |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/185857 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Tennessee, Dept Ind & Syst Engn, Knoxville, TN 37996 USA; 2.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Environm Sci Div, Oak Ridge, TN 37830 USA; 3.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Climate Change Sci Inst, Oak Ridge, TN 37830 USA; 4.US Army, Engineer Res & Dev Ctr, Coastal & Hydraul Lab, Vicksburg, MS USA; 5.Nanjing Univ, Sch Atmospher Sci, Inst Climate & Global Change Res, CMA NJU Joint Lab Climate Predict Studies, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 6.Joint Int Res Lab Atmospher & Earth Syst Sci, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 7.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Key Lab Reg Climate Environm Res East Asia, Beijing, Peoples R China; 8.Fudan Univ, Fudan Tyndall Ctr, Dept Environm Sci & Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R China; 9.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Computat Sci & Engn Div, Oak Ridge, TN USA; 10.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Climate Change Sci Inst, Oak Ridge, TN USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Forbes, Whitney L.,Mao, Jiafu,Ricciuto, Daniel M.,et al. Streamflow in the Columbia River Basin: Quantifying Changes Over the Period 1951-2008 and Determining the Drivers of Those Changes[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2019,55(8):6640-6652. |
APA | Forbes, Whitney L..,Mao, Jiafu.,Ricciuto, Daniel M..,Kao, Shih-Chieh.,Shi, Xiaoying.,...&Hoffman, Forrest M..(2019).Streamflow in the Columbia River Basin: Quantifying Changes Over the Period 1951-2008 and Determining the Drivers of Those Changes.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,55(8),6640-6652. |
MLA | Forbes, Whitney L.,et al."Streamflow in the Columbia River Basin: Quantifying Changes Over the Period 1951-2008 and Determining the Drivers of Those Changes".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 55.8(2019):6640-6652. |
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