GSTDTAP  > 资源环境科学
DOI10.1029/2018WR024256
Streamflow in the Columbia River Basin: Quantifying Changes Over the Period 1951-2008 and Determining the Drivers of Those Changes
Forbes, Whitney L.1,2,3; Mao, Jiafu2,3; Ricciuto, Daniel M.2,3; Kao, Shih-Chieh2,3; Shi, Xiaoying2,3; Tavakoly, Ahmad A.4; Jin, Mingzhou1; Guo, Weidong5,6; Zhao, Tianbao7; Wang, Yutao8; Thornton, Peter E.2,3; Hoffman, Forrest M.9,10
2019-08-01
发表期刊WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
ISSN0043-1397
EISSN1944-7973
出版年2019
卷号55期号:8页码:6640-6652
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA; Peoples R China
英文摘要

Trend, detection, and attribution analyses were performed using naturalized streamflow observations and routed land surface model runoff for 10 subbasins in the Columbia River Basin during water years 1951-2008. The Energy Exascale Earth System land-surface model (ELM) version 1.0 and the Routing Application for Parallel computation of Discharge (RAPID) routing model were used to conduct semi-factorial simulations driven by multiple sets of bias-corrected forcing data sets. Four main potential drivers, including climate change (CLMT), CO2 concentration (CO2), nitrogen deposition (NDEP), and land use and land cover change (LULCC), were analyzed during the assessment. All subbasins showed significant (alpha = 0.10) declines in the observed amount of annual total streamflow, except for the Middle and Upper Snake and Upper Columbia Subbasins. These declines were led by significant decreases in June-October streamflow, which also directly led to significant decreases in peak and summer streamflow. Except for the Snake River Subbasins, LULCC had the same pattern of declines in monthly streamflow, but the period was shifted to May-September. NDEP also had significant trends in June-October; however, rather than decreases, the trends showed significant increases in streamflow. While there were significant trends in CO2, NDEP, and LULCC, their signals of change were weak in comparison to the signal in CLMT and the natural internal variability found in streamflow. Overall, the detection and attribution analysis showed that the historical changes found in annual total, center of timing of, and summer mean streamflow could be attributed to changing climate and variability.


领域资源环境
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000490973700017
WOS关键词MODEL INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT ; UNITED-STATES ; LAND-SURFACE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CARBON ; SNOW ; ATTRIBUTION ; RUNOFF
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/185857
专题资源环境科学
作者单位1.Univ Tennessee, Dept Ind & Syst Engn, Knoxville, TN 37996 USA;
2.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Environm Sci Div, Oak Ridge, TN 37830 USA;
3.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Climate Change Sci Inst, Oak Ridge, TN 37830 USA;
4.US Army, Engineer Res & Dev Ctr, Coastal & Hydraul Lab, Vicksburg, MS USA;
5.Nanjing Univ, Sch Atmospher Sci, Inst Climate & Global Change Res, CMA NJU Joint Lab Climate Predict Studies, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China;
6.Joint Int Res Lab Atmospher & Earth Syst Sci, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China;
7.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Key Lab Reg Climate Environm Res East Asia, Beijing, Peoples R China;
8.Fudan Univ, Fudan Tyndall Ctr, Dept Environm Sci & Engn, Shanghai, Peoples R China;
9.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Computat Sci & Engn Div, Oak Ridge, TN USA;
10.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Climate Change Sci Inst, Oak Ridge, TN USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Forbes, Whitney L.,Mao, Jiafu,Ricciuto, Daniel M.,et al. Streamflow in the Columbia River Basin: Quantifying Changes Over the Period 1951-2008 and Determining the Drivers of Those Changes[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2019,55(8):6640-6652.
APA Forbes, Whitney L..,Mao, Jiafu.,Ricciuto, Daniel M..,Kao, Shih-Chieh.,Shi, Xiaoying.,...&Hoffman, Forrest M..(2019).Streamflow in the Columbia River Basin: Quantifying Changes Over the Period 1951-2008 and Determining the Drivers of Those Changes.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,55(8),6640-6652.
MLA Forbes, Whitney L.,et al."Streamflow in the Columbia River Basin: Quantifying Changes Over the Period 1951-2008 and Determining the Drivers of Those Changes".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 55.8(2019):6640-6652.
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