Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.07.040 |
Costs and benefits of saving unprofitable generators: A simulation case study for US coal and nuclear power plants | |
Shawhan, Daniel L.1,2; Picciano, Paul D.1 | |
2019 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 124页码:383-400 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | We use a detailed power sector model, E4ST, to project multi-decade effects of preventing a set of unprofitable generators from retiring. We simulate the "Grid Resiliency Pricing Rule" proposed by the US Department of Energy in 2017, and several variations, as an illustrative case study for similar national, regional, or state policies in the US or elsewhere. In the proposed policy, eligible coal and nuclear generators would be guaranteed revenues sufficient to ensure profitability. The simulation results show that, in 2025, $7.6 billion in subsidy is required to guarantee coal and nuclear generator profits. If in effect from 2020 to 2045, the policy delays the retirement of 25 GW of coal capacity and 21 GW of nuclear capacity, causes 27,000 premature deaths, increases carbon dioxide emissions by 420 million short tons, and has costs with a net present value of $263 billion during that period. The policy's net non-environmental cost for electricity end-users is $72 billion and net benefit for generation owners is $28 billion. In alternative scenarios, preventing retirement of only nuclear capacity produces positive total net benefit, while guaranteeing recovery of only going-forward costs shifts $77 billion of costs from customers to generators, but does not reduce emissions or total net cost. |
英文关键词 | Simulation modeling Electric power sector Coal and nuclear subsidy Cost-benefit analysis Premature mortality Environmental damage |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000453642600033 |
WOS关键词 | AIR-POLLUTION ; CARDIOVASCULAR-DISEASE ; PARTICULATE MATTER ; SECTORS |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18584 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Resources Future RFF, 1616 P St NW, Washington, DC 20036 USA; 2.Cornell Univ, Dyson Sch Appl Econ & Management, Warren Hall, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shawhan, Daniel L.,Picciano, Paul D.. Costs and benefits of saving unprofitable generators: A simulation case study for US coal and nuclear power plants[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2019,124:383-400. |
APA | Shawhan, Daniel L.,&Picciano, Paul D..(2019).Costs and benefits of saving unprofitable generators: A simulation case study for US coal and nuclear power plants.ENERGY POLICY,124,383-400. |
MLA | Shawhan, Daniel L.,et al."Costs and benefits of saving unprofitable generators: A simulation case study for US coal and nuclear power plants".ENERGY POLICY 124(2019):383-400. |
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