Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41558-019-0529-2 |
Global loss of climate connectivity in tropical forests | |
Senior, Rebecca A.1,3; Hill, Jane K.2; Edwards, David P.1 | |
2019-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 9期号:8页码:623-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England; USA |
英文摘要 | Range shifts are a crucial mechanism enabling species to avoid extinction under climate change(1,2). The majority of terrestrial biodiversity is concentrated in the tropics(3), including species considered most vulnerable to climate warming(4), but extensive and ongoing deforestation of tropical forests is likely to impede range shifts(5,6). We conduct a global assessment of the potential for tropical species to reach analogous future climates-'climate connectivity'-and empirically test how this has changed in response to deforestation between 2000 and 2012. We find that over 62% of tropical forest area (similar to 10 million km(2)) is already incapable of facilitating range shifts to analogous future climates. In just 12 years, continued deforestation has caused a loss of climate connectivity for over 27% of surviving tropical forest, with accelerating declines in connectivity as forest loss increased. On average, if species' ranges shift as far down climate gradients as permitted by existing forest connectivity, by 2070 they would still experience 0.77 degrees C of warming under the least severe climate warming scenario and up to 2.6 degrees C warming for the most severe scenario. Limiting further forest loss and focusing the global restoration agenda towards creating climate corridors are global priorities for improving resilience of tropical forest biotas under climate change. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000477738300019 |
WOS关键词 | SHIFTS ; BIRDS ; RESPONSES ; MOVEMENT ; PATTERNS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/185800 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Sheffield, Dept Anim & Plant Sci, Alfred Denny Bldg, Sheffield, S Yorkshire, England; 2.Univ York, Dept Biol, York, N Yorkshire, England; 3.Princeton Univ, Woodrow Wilson Sch Publ & Int Affairs, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Senior, Rebecca A.,Hill, Jane K.,Edwards, David P.. Global loss of climate connectivity in tropical forests[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2019,9(8):623-+. |
APA | Senior, Rebecca A.,Hill, Jane K.,&Edwards, David P..(2019).Global loss of climate connectivity in tropical forests.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,9(8),623-+. |
MLA | Senior, Rebecca A.,et al."Global loss of climate connectivity in tropical forests".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 9.8(2019):623-+. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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