Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.10.031 |
Energy-environment-economy nexus in Pakistan: Lessons from a PAK-TIMES model | |
Rehman, Syed Aziz Ur1,2; Cai, Yanpeng1,3; Mirjat, Nayyar Hussain4; Das Walasai, Gordhan5; Nafees, Mohammad6 | |
2019-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 126页码:200-211 |
文章类型 | Article;Proceedings Paper |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China; Pakistan |
英文摘要 | Pakistan, alongside other developing countries, is struggling to understand, plan and realize the energy-environment-economic nexus. In this study, we develop a national-scale bottom-up energy optimization model (Pak-TIMES) employing ANSWER-TIMES modeling framework which provides insight into this nexus for Pakistan. The reference energy system of Pak-TIMES model provides energy demand, supply, cost of energy and GHGs emissions. In total, five supply side scenarios enacted in this study are BAU (Business As Usual), RE-30 (30% renewables), RE-40 (40% renewables), Coal-30 (30% Coal) and Coal-40 (40% Coal) for the period 2015-2035. The results suggest that the cumulative investment cost incurred will be 170 billion USD to meet the electricity demand (3091 PJ) by 2035 with 181.5 million tons of GHGs emission in the BAU scenario. The most environmentally ambitious pathway, the RE-40 scenario will require 179.2 billion USD for investment with 96.0 million tons of GHGs emission. The Coal-40 scenario will cause the highest amount of GHGs emissions, i.e., 338.9 million tons with an estimated investment cost of 184.8 billion USD. Based on the results of this study, PAK-TIMES model, it is recommended that government needs to invest in renewables; given that, the environmental cost of non-renewable energy solutions is significantly higher. |
英文关键词 | ANSWER-TIMES Coal Electricity Nexus Pakistan Pak-TIMES |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI ; ISSHP ; ISTP |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000457952000019 |
WOS关键词 | ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION ; GROWTH ; EFFICIENCY ; CAUSALITY ; DEMAND ; CRISIS ; COSTS |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18579 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Lab Water Environm Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.COMSATS Univ Islamabad, Ctr Climate Res & Dev, Islamabad, Pakistan; 3.Guangdong Univ Technol, Inst Environm & Ecol Engn, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China; 4.Mehran Univ Engn & Technol, Dept Elect Engn, Jamshoro, Sindh, Pakistan; 5.Quaid e Awam Univ Engn Sci & Technol, Dept Mech Engn, Nawabshah, Pakistan; 6.Univ Peshawar, Dept Environm Sci, Peshawar, Pakistan |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rehman, Syed Aziz Ur,Cai, Yanpeng,Mirjat, Nayyar Hussain,et al. Energy-environment-economy nexus in Pakistan: Lessons from a PAK-TIMES model[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2019,126:200-211. |
APA | Rehman, Syed Aziz Ur,Cai, Yanpeng,Mirjat, Nayyar Hussain,Das Walasai, Gordhan,&Nafees, Mohammad.(2019).Energy-environment-economy nexus in Pakistan: Lessons from a PAK-TIMES model.ENERGY POLICY,126,200-211. |
MLA | Rehman, Syed Aziz Ur,et al."Energy-environment-economy nexus in Pakistan: Lessons from a PAK-TIMES model".ENERGY POLICY 126(2019):200-211. |
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