Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0656.1 |
A Study on Future Projections of Precipitation Characteristics around Japan in Early Summer Combining GPM DPR Observation and CMIP5 Large-Scale Environments | |
Yokoyama, Chie1; Takayabu, Yukari N.1; Arakawa, Osamu2; Ose, Tomoaki3 | |
2019-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
![]() |
ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 32期号:16页码:5251-5274 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Japan |
英文摘要 | This study estimates future changes in the early summer precipitation characteristics around Japan using changes in the large-scale environment, by combining Global Precipitation Measurement precipitation radar observations and phase 5 of the Coupled Models Intercomparison Project climate model large-scale projections. Analyzing satellite-based data, we first relate precipitation in three types of rain events (small, organized, and midlatitude), which are identified via their characteristics, to the large-scale environment. Two environmental fields are chosen to determine the large-scale conditions of the precipitation: the sea surface temperature and the midlevel large-scale vertical velocity. The former is related to the lower-tropospheric thermal instability, while the latter affects precipitation via moistening/drying of the midtroposphere. Consequently, favorable conditions differ between the three types in terms of these two environmental fields. Using these precipitation-environment relationships, we then reconstruct the precipitation distributions for each type with reference to the two environmental indices in climate models for the present and future climates. Future changes in the reconstructed precipitation are found to vary widely between the three types in association with the large-scale environment. In more than 90% of models, the region affected by organized-type precipitation will expand northward, leading to a substantial increase in this type of precipitation near Japan along the Sea of Japan, and in northern and eastern Japan on the Pacific side, where its present amount is relatively small. This result suggests an elevated risk of heavy rainfall in those regions because the maximum precipitation intensity is more intense in organized-type precipitation than in the other two types. |
英文关键词 | Asia Precipitation Satellite observations Climate models Climate variability |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000476906300003 |
WOS关键词 | BAIU RAIN BAND ; EAST-ASIA ; SUBTROPICAL JET ; HEAVY RAINFALL ; MONSOON ; FRONT ; MODEL ; SIMULATIONS ; TAIWAN ; CO2 |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/185738 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Tokyo, Atmosphere & Ocean Res Inst, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan; 2.Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; 3.Japan Meteorol Agcy, Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yokoyama, Chie,Takayabu, Yukari N.,Arakawa, Osamu,et al. A Study on Future Projections of Precipitation Characteristics around Japan in Early Summer Combining GPM DPR Observation and CMIP5 Large-Scale Environments[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019,32(16):5251-5274. |
APA | Yokoyama, Chie,Takayabu, Yukari N.,Arakawa, Osamu,&Ose, Tomoaki.(2019).A Study on Future Projections of Precipitation Characteristics around Japan in Early Summer Combining GPM DPR Observation and CMIP5 Large-Scale Environments.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,32(16),5251-5274. |
MLA | Yokoyama, Chie,et al."A Study on Future Projections of Precipitation Characteristics around Japan in Early Summer Combining GPM DPR Observation and CMIP5 Large-Scale Environments".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 32.16(2019):5251-5274. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论