Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab281e |
Assessing future climate change impacts in the EU and the USA: insights and lessons from two continental-scale projects | |
Ciscar, Juan-Carlos1; Rising, James2; Kopp, Robert E.3,4; Feyed, Luc5 | |
2019-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 14期号:8 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Spain; England; USA; Italy |
英文摘要 | Climate change will impact many economic sectors and aspects of natural and human wellbeing. Quantifying these impacts as they vary across regions, sectors, time, and social and climatological scenarios supports detailed planning, policy, and risk management. This article summarises and compares recent climate impact assessments in Europe (the JRC PESETA III project) and the USA (the American Climate Prospectus project). Both implement a multi-sector perspective combining high resolution climate data with sectoral impact and economic models. The assessments differ in their coverage of sectors and scenarios, mix of empirical and process-based methods, handling of uncertainty, and representation of damages. Despite the dissimilarities, projected relative economic impacts are comparable, with human mortality as the dominant impact category. Both studies further show a large spatial heterogeneity of impacts that may amplify pre-existing economic inequality in the EU and US, and that mitigation can considerably reduce economic impacts. The comparison highlights the various decision-points involved in interdisciplinary climate impact modelling and lessons learnt in both projects, on the basis of which we provide recommendations for further research. |
英文关键词 | climate impacts damages process models empirical models integrated assessment modelling JRC PESETA project American climate prospectus project |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000478753400002 |
WOS关键词 | TIPPING ELEMENTS ; FLOOD DAMAGE ; MODEL ; ADAPTATION ; TEMPERATURE ; MORTALITY ; SYSTEM ; CMIP5 ; RISK |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/185622 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Seville, Spain; 2.London Sch Econ & Polit Sci, Grantham Res Inst Climate Change & Environm, London, England; 3.Rutgers State Univ, Inst Earth Ocean & Atmospher Sci, New Brunswick, NJ USA; 4.Rutgers State Univ, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, New Brunswick, NJ USA; 5.European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Rome, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ciscar, Juan-Carlos,Rising, James,Kopp, Robert E.,et al. Assessing future climate change impacts in the EU and the USA: insights and lessons from two continental-scale projects[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,14(8). |
APA | Ciscar, Juan-Carlos,Rising, James,Kopp, Robert E.,&Feyed, Luc.(2019).Assessing future climate change impacts in the EU and the USA: insights and lessons from two continental-scale projects.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,14(8). |
MLA | Ciscar, Juan-Carlos,et al."Assessing future climate change impacts in the EU and the USA: insights and lessons from two continental-scale projects".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 14.8(2019). |
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