GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1007/s00382-019-04775-4
Robust elevation dependency warming over the Tibetan Plateau under global warming of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C
You, Qinglong1; Zhang, Yuqing1; Xie, Xingyang2; Wu, Fangying2
2019-08-01
发表期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2019
卷号53页码:2047-2060
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
英文摘要

The Tibetan Plateau (TP) is called the third pole and the Asian water tower, and climate change over the TP is evident in recent decades. However, the elevation dependency warming (EDW, larger temperature increases with higher elevation) over the TP under global warming of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C is not well understood. In this study, future changes in the monthly mean, maximum, and minimum temperature over the TP derived from 21 global climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) are investigated using a midrange/high emission scenario (RCP4.5/8.5) in which the global surface temperature has risen by 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C relative to the pre-industrial period. The multi-model ensemble mean of 21 CMIP5 models indicates that the TP has rapidly warmed to a larger degree than the global mean and the whole China. Overall, the mean temperature over the TP under RCP4.5/8.5 scenarios under global warming of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C will increase by 2.11/2.10 degrees C and 2.89/2.77 degrees C, respectively, particularly in the western TP. The midrange emission scenario RCP4.5 shows larger temperature changes under global warming of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C than the high emission scenario RCP8.5. Furthermore, a robust EDW over the TP is found to intensify under global warming of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C, which is probably contributed by the snow/ice-albedo feedback in the elevation range between 3.5 and 4km over the TP. The EDW over the TP raises more robust under global warming of 2 degrees C than 1.5 degrees C. This study suggests that the TP is being influenced by global warming approximately 10years earlier than the global scale under global warming of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C, and theEDW under global warming of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C will have potentially serious consequences for the third pole environment.


英文关键词Tibetan Plateau Elevation dependency warming 1 5 degrees C and 2 degrees C
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000475558800047
WOS关键词1.5 DEGREES-C ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TEMPERATURE ; IMPACTS ; VARIABILITY ; FREQUENCY ; CMIP5 ; HALF ; CO2
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/185441
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Fudan Univ, Inst Atmospher Sci, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Shanghai 200438, Peoples R China;
2.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster, Minist Educ KLME, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
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GB/T 7714
You, Qinglong,Zhang, Yuqing,Xie, Xingyang,et al. Robust elevation dependency warming over the Tibetan Plateau under global warming of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019,53:2047-2060.
APA You, Qinglong,Zhang, Yuqing,Xie, Xingyang,&Wu, Fangying.(2019).Robust elevation dependency warming over the Tibetan Plateau under global warming of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,53,2047-2060.
MLA You, Qinglong,et al."Robust elevation dependency warming over the Tibetan Plateau under global warming of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 53(2019):2047-2060.
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