GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1029/2019GL082887
Climate Sensitivity From Both Physical and Carbon Cycle Feedbacks
Goodwin, Philip1; Williams, Richard G.2; Roussenov, Vassil M.2; Katavouta, Anna2
2019-07-16
发表期刊GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN0094-8276
EISSN1944-8007
出版年2019
卷号46期号:13页码:7554-7564
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England
英文摘要

The surface warming response to anthropogenic forcing is highly sensitive to the strength of feedbacks in both the physical climate and carbon cycle systems. However, the definitions of climate feedback, lambda(Climate) in W.m(-2).K-1, and climate sensitivity, S-Climate in K/(W/m(2)), explicitly exclude the impact of carbon cycle feedbacks. Here we provide a new framework to incorporate carbon feedback into the definitions of climate feedback and sensitivity. Applying our framework to the Global Carbon Budget reconstructions reveals a present- day terrestrial carbon feedback of lambda(Carbon) = 0.31 +/- 0.09 W.m(-2).K-1 and an ocean carbon feedback of - 0.06 to 0.015 W.m(-2).K-1 in Earth system models. Observational constraints reveal a combined climate and carbon feedback of lambda(Climate+Carbon) = 1.48 W.m(-2).K-1 with a 95% range of 0.76 to 2.32 W.m(-2).K-1 on centennial time scales, corresponding to a combined climate and carbon sensitivity of SClimate+Carbon = 0.67 K/(W/m(2)) with a 95% range of 0.43 to 1.32 K/(W/m(2)).


Plain Language Summary Feedback processes in the physical climate system and the carbon cycle affect the Earth's climate response to emissions of greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide. Physical climate feedbacks include the responses of clouds and atmospheric water vapor to rising surface temperatures, while carbon cycle feedbacks affect how much of the emitted carbon dioxide is removed from the atmosphere and stored in the ocean and on land. Conventionally, definitions of climate feedback and climate sensitivity include all the feedbacks in the physical climate system but do not include carbon cycle feedbacks. This study provides a new framework to incorporate carbon feedback into the definitions of climate feedback and sensitivity. Evaluating the historical strengths of physical climate system and carbon cycle feedbacks suggests emissions of carbon dioxide will cause equilibrium (century time scale) surface warming to increase between 0.6 and 2.0 degrees C for every 1,000 PgC emitted when an equilibrium is approached between the atmosphere and the ocean over many centuries.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000476960100056
WOS关键词TIME
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Geology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/185075
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Southampton, Natl Oceanog Ctr Southampton, Ocean & Earth Sci, Southampton, Hants, England;
2.Univ Liverpool, Sch Environm Sci, Dept Earth Ocean & Ecol Sci, Liverpool, Merseyside, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Goodwin, Philip,Williams, Richard G.,Roussenov, Vassil M.,et al. Climate Sensitivity From Both Physical and Carbon Cycle Feedbacks[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,46(13):7554-7564.
APA Goodwin, Philip,Williams, Richard G.,Roussenov, Vassil M.,&Katavouta, Anna.(2019).Climate Sensitivity From Both Physical and Carbon Cycle Feedbacks.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,46(13),7554-7564.
MLA Goodwin, Philip,et al."Climate Sensitivity From Both Physical and Carbon Cycle Feedbacks".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 46.13(2019):7554-7564.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
查看访问统计
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Goodwin, Philip]的文章
[Williams, Richard G.]的文章
[Roussenov, Vassil M.]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Goodwin, Philip]的文章
[Williams, Richard G.]的文章
[Roussenov, Vassil M.]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Goodwin, Philip]的文章
[Williams, Richard G.]的文章
[Roussenov, Vassil M.]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。