Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/ele.13335 |
Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease | |
Mordecai, Erin A.1; Caldwell, Jamie M.1; Grossman, Marissa K.2,3; Lippi, Catherine A.4,5; Johnson, Leah R.6; Neira, Marco7; Rohr, Jason R.8; Ryan, Sadie J.4,5,9; Savage, Van10,11,12; Shocket, Marta S.1; Sippy, Rachel4,5,13; Ibarra, Anna M. Stewart13; Thomas, Matthew B.2,3; Villena, Oswaldo6 | |
2019-07-08 | |
发表期刊 | ECOLOGY LETTERS |
ISSN | 1461-023X |
EISSN | 1461-0248 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 22期号:10页码:1690-1708 |
文章类型 | Review |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Ecuador; South Africa |
英文摘要 | Mosquito-borne diseases cause a major burden of disease worldwide. The vital rates of these ectothermic vectors and parasites respond strongly and nonlinearly to temperature and therefore to climate change. Here, we review how trait-based approaches can synthesise and mechanistically predict the temperature dependence of transmission across vectors, pathogens, and environments. We present 11 pathogens transmitted by 15 different mosquito species - including globally important diseases like malaria, dengue, and Zika - synthesised from previously published studies. Transmission varied strongly and unimodally with temperature, peaking at 23-29oC and declining to zero below 9-23oC and above 32-38oC. Different traits restricted transmission at low versus high temperatures, and temperature effects on transmission varied by both mosquito and parasite species. Temperate pathogens exhibit broader thermal ranges and cooler thermal minima and optima than tropical pathogens. Among tropical pathogens, malaria and Ross River virus had lower thermal optima (25-26oC) while dengue and Zika viruses had the highest (29oC) thermal optima. We expect warming to increase transmission below thermal optima but decrease transmission above optima. Key directions for future work include linking mechanistic models to field transmission, combining temperature effects with control measures, incorporating trait variation and temperature variation, and investigating climate adaptation and migration. |
英文关键词 | Arbovirus climate change dengue virus malaria mosquito Ross River virus temperature thermal performance curve West Nile virus Zika virus |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000477442600001 |
WOS关键词 | ROSS-RIVER-VIRUS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TEMPERATURE-DEPENDENCE ; MALARIA TRANSMISSION ; PERFORMANCE CURVES ; PLASMODIUM-FALCIPARUM ; WARMER TEMPERATURES ; DENGUE EPIDEMICS ; METABOLIC THEORY ; HOST |
WOS类目 | Ecology |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/184921 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Stanford Univ, Dept Biol, 371 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA 94305 USA; 2.Penn State Univ, Dept Entomol, University Pk, PA 16802 USA; 3.Penn State Univ, Ctr Infect Dis Dynam, University Pk, PA 16802 USA; 4.Univ Florida, Dept Geog, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA; 5.Univ Florida, Emerging Pathogens Inst, Gainesville, FL USA; 6.Virginia Polytech & State Univ, Dept Stat, 250 Drillfield Dr, Blacksburg, VA USA; 7.Pontificia Univ Catolica Ecuador, Ctr Res Hlth Latin Amer CISeAL, Quito, Ecuador; 8.Univ Notre Dame, Dept Biol Sci, Environm Change Initiat, Eck Inst Global Hlth, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA; 9.Univ KwaZulu Natal, Sch Life Sci, Durban, South Africa; 10.Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA; 11.Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Biomath, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA; 12.Santa Fe Inst, 1399 Hyde Pk Rd, Santa Fe, NM 87501 USA; 13.SUNY Upstate Med Univ, Inst Global Hlth & Translat Sci, Syracuse, NY 13210 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mordecai, Erin A.,Caldwell, Jamie M.,Grossman, Marissa K.,et al. Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease[J]. ECOLOGY LETTERS,2019,22(10):1690-1708. |
APA | Mordecai, Erin A..,Caldwell, Jamie M..,Grossman, Marissa K..,Lippi, Catherine A..,Johnson, Leah R..,...&Villena, Oswaldo.(2019).Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease.ECOLOGY LETTERS,22(10),1690-1708. |
MLA | Mordecai, Erin A.,et al."Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease".ECOLOGY LETTERS 22.10(2019):1690-1708. |
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