Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/joc.6030 |
How much of Typhoon Morakot's extreme rainfall is attributable to anthropogenic climate change? | |
Wang, Chung-Chieh1; Tseng, Li-Shan1; Huang, Chien-Chang2; Lo, Shih-How1; Chen, Cheng-Ta1; Chuang, Pi-Yu1; Su, Nan-Chou1; Tsuboki, K.3 | |
2019-06-30 | |
发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY |
ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 39期号:8页码:3454-3464 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Taiwan; Japan |
英文摘要 | Typhoon Morakot (2009), which made landfall in Taiwan during August 7-9, 2009, produced the highest rainfall and became the deadliest typhoon ever recorded in Taiwan since 1958. To assess the role of anthropogenic climate change in the typhoon-related torrent, we compare the water budget between a pair of cloud-resolving sensitivity experiments. The pair consists of a control simulation that reproduces Typhoon Morakot (2009) in current climate and a sensitivity simulation in which the same storm is placed in a slightly different climate background where the late 20th century anthropogenic climate change signal is removed. The anthropogenic signal is estimated with the CMIP5 experiments of 18 models for the period of 1985-2005, during which the global warming trend is discernible. In climate states that differ merely by a 20-year mean anthropogenic change, Morakot (2009) yields 3.4-3.6% more total rainfall in the control experiment than its sensitivity counterpart within a radius of 300-500 km from the storm centre. Water budget analysis indicates that the increase in typhoon rainfall is mainly resulted from the enhanced convergence of vapour flux. The enhancement is, in turn, contributed by the increased tropospheric moisture due to global warming and, to a lesser extent, by a more active secondary circulation in the storm that is associated with the anthropogenic climate change. |
英文关键词 | anthropogenic climate change extreme rainfall secondary circulation sensitivity experiments water budget analysis |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000474160800003 |
WOS关键词 | TROPICAL CYCLONE RAINFALL ; WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC ; THERMAL STRUCTURE ; WATER-BUDGET ; PRECIPITATION ; TAIWAN ; ROLES ; CMIP5 |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/184303 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Natl Taiwan Normal Univ, Dept Earth Sci, B406 Sci Bldg,88 Sec 4 Ting Chou Rd, Taipei 11677, Taiwan; 2.Natl Taiwan Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Taipei, Taiwan; 3.Nagoya Univ, Inst Space Earth Environm Res, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Chung-Chieh,Tseng, Li-Shan,Huang, Chien-Chang,et al. How much of Typhoon Morakot's extreme rainfall is attributable to anthropogenic climate change?[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2019,39(8):3454-3464. |
APA | Wang, Chung-Chieh.,Tseng, Li-Shan.,Huang, Chien-Chang.,Lo, Shih-How.,Chen, Cheng-Ta.,...&Tsuboki, K..(2019).How much of Typhoon Morakot's extreme rainfall is attributable to anthropogenic climate change?.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,39(8),3454-3464. |
MLA | Wang, Chung-Chieh,et al."How much of Typhoon Morakot's extreme rainfall is attributable to anthropogenic climate change?".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 39.8(2019):3454-3464. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论