Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2018JD030155 |
Contribution of Historical Global Warming to Local-Scale Heavy Precipitation in Western Japan Estimated by Large Ensemble High-Resolution Simulations | |
Kawase, H.; Imada, Y.; Sasaki, H.; Nakaegawa, T.; Murata, A.; Nosaka, M.; Takayabu, I. | |
2019-06-27 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES |
ISSN | 2169-897X |
EISSN | 2169-8996 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 124期号:12页码:6093-6103 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Japan |
英文摘要 | Large ensemble pairs of high-resolution global and regional climate simulations, which are composed of 100 members of 60 years each, make it possible to attribute changes in local-scale heavy precipitation to historical global warming. Mountain ranges separate local climates and can modulate the impact of global warming on heavy precipitation. In the summer, Japan's Kyushu region, with mountain ranges approximately 200-km long from south to north, receives large amounts of precipitation. Over western Kyushu, the monthly maximum daily precipitation (maxPr(daily)) in July increases due to historical global warming, while the maxPr(daily) is unchanged over eastern Kyushu. Moisture advection and convergence due to stationary weather fronts are primary factors causing heavy precipitation in western Kyushu and moistening due to warming increases the maxPr(daily). On the other hand, typhoons heading to Kyushu are related to heavy precipitation over eastern Kyushu. The changes in typhoons heading to Kyushu result in unchanged maxPr(daily) in eastern Kyushu. Our results suggest that local-scale mountain ranges can change synoptic-scale disturbances causing heavy precipitation and modulate the impact of historical global warming on heavy precipitation across mountain ranges. Plain Language Summary Global warming has already increased heavy precipitation, but the impact of global warming on heavy precipitation depends on the region. Mountain ranges separate local climates. Different synoptic disturbances cause heavy precipitation over one side of the mountain ranges. For instance, the advection and convergence of water vapor due to a stationary weather front cause heavy precipitation on the western sides of mountain ranges in the third-largest island in Japan, while typhoons cause heavy precipitation in the eastern side of mountain ranges. Since the impacts of global warming on these synoptic phenomena are different, the changes in heavy precipitation over each side of the mountain ranges are also different. |
英文关键词 | climate change heavy precipitation attribution of historical global warming orographic effect regional climate model |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000477800000011 |
WOS关键词 | SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; RAINFALL ; PATTERNS ; EVENT ; ATTRIBUTION |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/184164 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Japan Meteorol Agcy, Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kawase, H.,Imada, Y.,Sasaki, H.,et al. Contribution of Historical Global Warming to Local-Scale Heavy Precipitation in Western Japan Estimated by Large Ensemble High-Resolution Simulations[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,2019,124(12):6093-6103. |
APA | Kawase, H..,Imada, Y..,Sasaki, H..,Nakaegawa, T..,Murata, A..,...&Takayabu, I..(2019).Contribution of Historical Global Warming to Local-Scale Heavy Precipitation in Western Japan Estimated by Large Ensemble High-Resolution Simulations.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,124(12),6093-6103. |
MLA | Kawase, H.,et al."Contribution of Historical Global Warming to Local-Scale Heavy Precipitation in Western Japan Estimated by Large Ensemble High-Resolution Simulations".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES 124.12(2019):6093-6103. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论