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DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0273.1 |
Evaluating the Relationship between Interannual Variations in the Antarctic Ozone Hole and Southern Hemisphere Surface Climate in Chemistry-Climate Models | |
Gillett, Zoe E.1,2; Arblaster, Julie M.1,2,3; Dittus, Andrea J.2,4,5; Deushi, Makoto6; Joeckel, Patrick7; Kinnison, Douglas E.3; Morgenstern, Olaf8; Plummer, David A.9; Revell, Laura E.10,11,12; Rozanov, Eugene10,13; Schofield, Robyn14,15; Stenke, Andrea10; Stone, Kane A.14,15,16; Tilmes, Simone3 | |
2019-06-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
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ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 32期号:11页码:3131-3151 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia; USA; England; Japan; Germany; New Zealand; Canada; Switzerland |
英文摘要 | Studies have recently reported statistically significant relationships between observed year-to-year spring Antarctic ozone variability and the Southern Hemisphere annular mode and surface temperatures in spring-summer. This study investigates whether current chemistry-climate models (CCMs) can capture these relationships, in particular, the connection between November total column ozone (TCO) and Australian summer surface temperatures, where years with anomalously high TCO over the Antarctic polar cap tend to be followed by warmer summers. The interannual ozone-temperature teleconnection is examined over the historical period in the observations and simulations from the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) and nine other models participating in the Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative (CCMI). There is a systematic difference between the WACCM experiments forced with prescribed observed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and those with an interactive ocean. Strong correlations between TCO and Australian temperatures are only obtained for the uncoupled experiment, suggesting that the SSTs could be important for driving both variations in Australian temperatures and the ozone hole, with no causal link between the two. Other CCMI models also tend to capture this relationship with more fidelity when driven by observed SSTs, although additional research and targeted modeling experiments are required to determine causality and further explore the role of model biases and observational uncertainty. The results indicate that CCMs can reproduce the relationship between spring ozone and summer Australian climate reported in observational studies, suggesting that incorporating ozone variability could improve seasonal predictions; however, more work is required to understand the difference between the coupled and uncoupled simulations. |
英文关键词 | Southern Hemisphere Annular mode Ozone Seasonal forecasting Climate models Climate variability |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000467307600001 |
WOS关键词 | ANNULAR MODE ; AUSTRALIAN RAINFALL ; SEA-ICE ; VARIABILITY ; CIRCULATION ; TRENDS ; OSCILLATION ; DEPLETION ; DEFINITION ; ANOMALIES |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/183836 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Monash Univ, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 2.Monash Univ, Sch Earth Atmosphere & Environm, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 3.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA; 4.Monash Univ, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Syst Sci, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 5.Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Natl Ctr Atmospher Sci, Reading, Berks, England; 6.Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; 7.Deutsch Zentrum Luft & Raumfahrt, Inst Phys Atmosphare, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany; 8.Natl Inst Water & Atmospher Res, Wellington, New Zealand; 9.Environm & Climate Change Canada, Climate Res Branch, Montreal, PQ, Canada; 10.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Zurich, Switzerland; 11.Bodeker Sci, Christchurch, New Zealand; 12.Univ Canterbury, Sch Phys & Chem Sci, Christchurch, New Zealand; 13.World Radiat Ctr, Phys Meteorol Observatorium Davos, Davos, Switzerland; 14.Univ Melbourne, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Syst Sci, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 15.Univ Melbourne, Sch Earth Sci, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 16.MIT, 77 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gillett, Zoe E.,Arblaster, Julie M.,Dittus, Andrea J.,et al. Evaluating the Relationship between Interannual Variations in the Antarctic Ozone Hole and Southern Hemisphere Surface Climate in Chemistry-Climate Models[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019,32(11):3131-3151. |
APA | Gillett, Zoe E..,Arblaster, Julie M..,Dittus, Andrea J..,Deushi, Makoto.,Joeckel, Patrick.,...&Tilmes, Simone.(2019).Evaluating the Relationship between Interannual Variations in the Antarctic Ozone Hole and Southern Hemisphere Surface Climate in Chemistry-Climate Models.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,32(11),3131-3151. |
MLA | Gillett, Zoe E.,et al."Evaluating the Relationship between Interannual Variations in the Antarctic Ozone Hole and Southern Hemisphere Surface Climate in Chemistry-Climate Models".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 32.11(2019):3131-3151. |
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