GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0273.1
Evaluating the Relationship between Interannual Variations in the Antarctic Ozone Hole and Southern Hemisphere Surface Climate in Chemistry-Climate Models
Gillett, Zoe E.1,2; Arblaster, Julie M.1,2,3; Dittus, Andrea J.2,4,5; Deushi, Makoto6; Joeckel, Patrick7; Kinnison, Douglas E.3; Morgenstern, Olaf8; Plummer, David A.9; Revell, Laura E.10,11,12; Rozanov, Eugene10,13; Schofield, Robyn14,15; Stenke, Andrea10; Stone, Kane A.14,15,16; Tilmes, Simone3
2019-06-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
EISSN1520-0442
出版年2019
卷号32期号:11页码:3131-3151
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Australia; USA; England; Japan; Germany; New Zealand; Canada; Switzerland
英文摘要

Studies have recently reported statistically significant relationships between observed year-to-year spring Antarctic ozone variability and the Southern Hemisphere annular mode and surface temperatures in spring-summer. This study investigates whether current chemistry-climate models (CCMs) can capture these relationships, in particular, the connection between November total column ozone (TCO) and Australian summer surface temperatures, where years with anomalously high TCO over the Antarctic polar cap tend to be followed by warmer summers. The interannual ozone-temperature teleconnection is examined over the historical period in the observations and simulations from the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) and nine other models participating in the Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative (CCMI). There is a systematic difference between the WACCM experiments forced with prescribed observed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and those with an interactive ocean. Strong correlations between TCO and Australian temperatures are only obtained for the uncoupled experiment, suggesting that the SSTs could be important for driving both variations in Australian temperatures and the ozone hole, with no causal link between the two. Other CCMI models also tend to capture this relationship with more fidelity when driven by observed SSTs, although additional research and targeted modeling experiments are required to determine causality and further explore the role of model biases and observational uncertainty. The results indicate that CCMs can reproduce the relationship between spring ozone and summer Australian climate reported in observational studies, suggesting that incorporating ozone variability could improve seasonal predictions; however, more work is required to understand the difference between the coupled and uncoupled simulations.


英文关键词Southern Hemisphere Annular mode Ozone Seasonal forecasting Climate models Climate variability
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000467307600001
WOS关键词ANNULAR MODE ; AUSTRALIAN RAINFALL ; SEA-ICE ; VARIABILITY ; CIRCULATION ; TRENDS ; OSCILLATION ; DEPLETION ; DEFINITION ; ANOMALIES
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/183836
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Monash Univ, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Melbourne, Vic, Australia;
2.Monash Univ, Sch Earth Atmosphere & Environm, Melbourne, Vic, Australia;
3.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA;
4.Monash Univ, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Syst Sci, Melbourne, Vic, Australia;
5.Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Natl Ctr Atmospher Sci, Reading, Berks, England;
6.Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan;
7.Deutsch Zentrum Luft & Raumfahrt, Inst Phys Atmosphare, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany;
8.Natl Inst Water & Atmospher Res, Wellington, New Zealand;
9.Environm & Climate Change Canada, Climate Res Branch, Montreal, PQ, Canada;
10.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Zurich, Switzerland;
11.Bodeker Sci, Christchurch, New Zealand;
12.Univ Canterbury, Sch Phys & Chem Sci, Christchurch, New Zealand;
13.World Radiat Ctr, Phys Meteorol Observatorium Davos, Davos, Switzerland;
14.Univ Melbourne, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Syst Sci, Melbourne, Vic, Australia;
15.Univ Melbourne, Sch Earth Sci, Melbourne, Vic, Australia;
16.MIT, 77 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
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GB/T 7714
Gillett, Zoe E.,Arblaster, Julie M.,Dittus, Andrea J.,et al. Evaluating the Relationship between Interannual Variations in the Antarctic Ozone Hole and Southern Hemisphere Surface Climate in Chemistry-Climate Models[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019,32(11):3131-3151.
APA Gillett, Zoe E..,Arblaster, Julie M..,Dittus, Andrea J..,Deushi, Makoto.,Joeckel, Patrick.,...&Tilmes, Simone.(2019).Evaluating the Relationship between Interannual Variations in the Antarctic Ozone Hole and Southern Hemisphere Surface Climate in Chemistry-Climate Models.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,32(11),3131-3151.
MLA Gillett, Zoe E.,et al."Evaluating the Relationship between Interannual Variations in the Antarctic Ozone Hole and Southern Hemisphere Surface Climate in Chemistry-Climate Models".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 32.11(2019):3131-3151.
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